Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 82%
$4.9K
$195.08
Smart Money Signal
19 of 23 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | -$6.95 | 59% 61952-42970 (104922) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 96.4¢ | $267.45 | $277.36 | +$9.91 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 83.4¢ | $416.9 | $500.01 | +$83.11 | 12% 17971-132774 (150745) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 88.4¢ | $170.55 | $190.99 | +$20.44 | 57% 7536-5796 (13332) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 91.5¢ | $114.58 | $122.47 | +$7.89 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 65.2¢ | $97.96 | $150.28 | +$52.32 | 56% 13466-10757 (24223) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 69.4¢ | $95.88 | $138.24 | +$42.36 | 54% 15205-12741 (27946) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 85.2¢ | $59.25 | $45.23 | -$14.02 | 49% 4950-5122 (10072) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 64¢ | $64 | $100 | +$36 | 56% 12197-9415 (21612) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $62.48 | $88 | +$25.52 | 55% 7132-5836 (12968) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $72.6 | $88 | +$15.4 | 60% 11921-7827 (19748) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $36.53 | $37.34 | +$0.81 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.5¢ | $6.27 | — | -$6.27 | 57% 11734-8731 (20465) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.5¢ | $76.92 | — | -$76.92 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $37.02 | $44.4 | +$7.38 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $14.55 | $15 | +$0.45 | 67% 53099-26522 (79621) |
VE Vega7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 74% 2941-1031 (3972) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 55% 8367-6803 (15170) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73.2¢ | $16.8 | $22.96 | +$6.16 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $16.5 | $22.2 | +$5.7 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $10.91 | $21.39 | +$10.48 | 29% 359-888 (1247) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $5.76 | $6.06 | +$0.3 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3623-2810 (6433) |
Invested
$3,074.96
Value
$3.1K
PnL
-$6.95
Record
59%
61952-42970 (104922)
pspspsps5Invested
$267.45
Value
$277.36
PnL
+$9.91
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
Invested
$416.9
Value
$500.01
PnL
+$83.11
Record
12%
17971-132774 (150745)
Invested
$170.55
Value
$190.99
PnL
+$20.44
Record
57%
7536-5796 (13332)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$114.58
Value
$122.47
PnL
+$7.89
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
Invested
$97.96
Value
$150.28
PnL
+$52.32
Record
56%
13466-10757 (24223)
Invested
$95.88
Value
$138.24
PnL
+$42.36
Record
54%
15205-12741 (27946)
Invested
$59.25
Value
$45.23
PnL
-$14.02
Record
49%
4950-5122 (10072)
FairValueMachineInvested
$64
Value
$100
PnL
+$36
Record
56%
12197-9415 (21612)
Invested
$62.48
Value
$88
PnL
+$25.52
Record
55%
7132-5836 (12968)
Invested
$72.6
Value
$88
PnL
+$15.4
Record
60%
11921-7827 (19748)
Invested
$36.53
Value
$37.34
PnL
+$0.81
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$6.27
Value
—
PnL
-$6.27
Record
57%
11734-8731 (20465)
Invested
$76.92
Value
—
PnL
-$76.92
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
Invested
$37.02
Value
$44.4
PnL
+$7.38
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$14.55
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.45
Record
67%
53099-26522 (79621)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
74%
2941-1031 (3972)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
55%
8367-6803 (15170)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$22.96
PnL
+$6.16
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$22.2
PnL
+$5.7
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
$10.91
Value
$21.39
PnL
+$10.48
Record
29%
359-888 (1247)
Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3623-2810 (6433)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.1K
pspspsps5
Down — $277.36
Hsilverbasher
Down — $500.01
wzbbb
Down — $190.99
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $122.47
GoodFallen
Down — $150.28
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $138.24
ply-pm0
Down — $45.23
FairValueMachine
Down — $100
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $88