Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 50%
$5.1K
-$740.08
Smart Money Signal
14 of 29 top traders (48%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 46.6¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$104.06 | 54% 15205-12741 (27946) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.34 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 59¢ | $698.24 | $783.01 | +$84.77 | 56% 13466-10757 (24223) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 40.6¢ | $271.46 | $405.95 | +$134.49 | 57% 7536-5796 (13332) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 50.2¢ | $439.86 | — | -$439.86 | 49% 4950-5122 (10072) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 51.4¢ | $222.45 | $379.83 | +$157.38 | 60% 11921-7827 (19748) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 61.9¢ | $375.9 | $361.92 | -$13.98 | 56% 12197-9415 (21612) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $272.42 | $277.26 | +$4.85 | 77% 9265-2721 (11986) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR | Downavg 47.8¢ | $235.26 | — | -$235.26 | 12% 17971-132774 (150745) |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Upavg 93.5¢ | $218.44 | $233.55 | +$15.11 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
ST std0CTR | Downavg 43.5¢ | $109.82 | — | -$109.82 | 67% 53099-26522 (79621) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Downavg 39.4¢ | $233.59 | — | -$233.59 | 55% 7132-5836 (12968) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 65.9¢ | $117.62 | $108.73 | -$8.9 | 55% 8367-6803 (15170) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Downavg 43.1¢ | $196.52 | — | -$196.52 | 57% 11734-8731 (20465) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $71.43 | — | -$71.43 | 29% 359-888 (1247) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 35.4¢ | $59.65 | $168.32 | +$108.67 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $30.6 | — | -$30.6 | 57% 10106-7577 (17683) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $27.32 | — | -$7.89 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $24.6 | $61.5 | +$36.9 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $14.84 | — | -$14.84 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
BE beeemwCTR<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 78% 279-79 (358) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 32.6¢ | $12.2 | $37.39 | +$25.19 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 69.7¢ | $25.78 | $37 | +$11.22 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80.3¢ | $21.68 | $27 | +$5.32 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 50% 7643-7662 (15305) |
Invested
$1,090.7
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$104.06
Record
54%
15205-12741 (27946)
Invested
$1,053.48
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.34
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
Invested
$698.24
Value
$783.01
PnL
+$84.77
Record
56%
13466-10757 (24223)
Invested
$271.46
Value
$405.95
PnL
+$134.49
Record
57%
7536-5796 (13332)
Invested
$439.86
Value
—
PnL
-$439.86
Record
49%
4950-5122 (10072)
Invested
$222.45
Value
$379.83
PnL
+$157.38
Record
60%
11921-7827 (19748)
FairValueMachineInvested
$375.9
Value
$361.92
PnL
-$13.98
Record
56%
12197-9415 (21612)
NIULAI4Invested
$272.42
Value
$277.26
PnL
+$4.85
Record
77%
9265-2721 (11986)
Invested
$235.26
Value
—
PnL
-$235.26
Record
12%
17971-132774 (150745)
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$218.44
Value
$233.55
PnL
+$15.11
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$109.82
Value
—
PnL
-$109.82
Record
67%
53099-26522 (79621)
Invested
$233.59
Value
—
PnL
-$233.59
Record
55%
7132-5836 (12968)
machinelearnedInvested
$117.62
Value
$108.73
PnL
-$8.9
Record
55%
8367-6803 (15170)
Invested
$196.52
Value
—
PnL
-$196.52
Record
57%
11734-8731 (20465)
Invested
$71.43
Value
—
PnL
-$71.43
Record
29%
359-888 (1247)
Invested
$59.65
Value
$168.32
PnL
+$108.67
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
$30.6
Value
—
PnL
-$30.6
Record
57%
10106-7577 (17683)
Invested
$27.32
Value
—
PnL
-$7.89
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
Invested
$24.6
Value
$61.5
PnL
+$36.9
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
$14.84
Value
—
PnL
-$14.84
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
78%
279-79 (358)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.2
Value
$37.39
PnL
+$25.19
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$25.78
Value
$37
PnL
+$11.22
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
Invested
$21.68
Value
$27
PnL
+$5.32
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
50%
7643-7662 (15305)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $1.2K
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
GoodFallen
Up — $783.01
wzbbb
Up — $405.95
ply-pm0
CTRDown — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $379.83
FairValueMachine
Up — $361.92
NIULAI4
Up — $277.26
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $233.55