Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 79%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$157.36

Smart Money Signal

Down

19 of 26 top traders (73%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down19 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,097

Combined PnL+$232.79

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,085

Combined PnL-$75.44

Down — 73%Up — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 95¢	$1.6K	$1.7K	+$48.42	57% 7536-5796 (13332)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 74.9¢	$423.52	$434.71	+$11.19	54% 15205-12741 (27946)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 80.6¢	$320.48	$353.55	+$33.07	55% 7132-5836 (12968)
13 13897651	Downavg 60.8¢	$227.61	$374.31	+$146.69	29% 359-888 (1247)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 88.5¢	$180.67	$169.34	-$11.33	60% 11921-7827 (19748)
HS Hsilverbasher	Downavg 79.6¢	$174.63	$218	+$43.37	12% 17971-132774 (150745)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 66.8¢	$149.05	$141.08	-$7.97	59% 22853-16041 (38894)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 73¢	$162.99	$128.08	-$34.91	56% 13466-10757 (24223)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Downavg 86.3¢	$98.8	$89.99	-$8.81	49% 4950-5122 (10072)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Downavg 75.9¢	$70.62	$75.63	+$5	54% 10339-8830 (19169)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Downavg 90.1¢	$76.31	$84.71	+$8.4	57% 10106-7577 (17683)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 93.5¢	$70.96	$72.78	+$1.82	52% 89283-83737 (173020)
ST std0<$100	Downavg 82.6¢	$60.82	$62.01	+$1.19	67% 53099-26522 (79621)
FairValueMachine<$100	Downavg 77.1¢	$74.75	$60	-$14.75	56% 12197-9415 (21612)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 87.3¢	$73.34	$56.59	-$16.76	55% 8367-6803 (15170)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 86.9¢	$31.91	$36.74	+$4.83	61% 93803-58969 (152772)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 59.9¢	$33.86	$56.57	+$22.71	66% 111508-57758 (169266)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 81.1¢	$29.81	$19.25	-$0.17	65% 21538-11836 (33374)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 4.6¢	$13.54	—	-$13.54	46% 37841-44422 (82263)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 18.6¢	$17.26	—	-$17.26	55% 17200-13832 (31032)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 92¢	$9.2	$10	+$0.8	65% 124007-66294 (190301)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Upavg 12.9¢	$26.86	—	-$26.86	57% 11734-8731 (20465)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Upavg 2.2¢	$8.35	—	-$8.35	48% 23042-25099 (48141)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 6.1¢	$9.42	—	-$9.42	49% 77513-80805 (158318)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19747-18896 (38643)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$1,605.52

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$48.42

Record

57%

7536-5796 (13332)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$423.52

Value

$434.71

PnL

+$11.19

Record

54%

15205-12741 (27946)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$320.48

Value

$353.55

PnL

+$33.07

Record

55%

7132-5836 (12968)

13897651

Down

Invested

$227.61

Value

$374.31

PnL

+$146.69

Record

29%

359-888 (1247)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$180.67

Value

$169.34

PnL

-$11.33

Record

60%

11921-7827 (19748)

Hsilverbasher

Down

Invested

$174.63

Value

$218

PnL

+$43.37

Record

12%

17971-132774 (150745)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$149.05

Value

$141.08

PnL

-$7.97

Record

59%

22853-16041 (38894)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$162.99

Value

$128.08

PnL

-$34.91

Record

56%

13466-10757 (24223)

ply-pm0<$100

Down

Invested

$98.8

Value

$89.99

PnL

-$8.81

Record

49%

4950-5122 (10072)

thesidehustle<$100

Down

Invested

$70.62

Value

$75.63

PnL

+$5

Record

54%

10339-8830 (19169)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Down

Invested

$76.31

Value

$84.71

PnL

+$8.4

Record

57%

10106-7577 (17683)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$70.96

Value

$72.78

PnL

+$1.82

Record

52%

89283-83737 (173020)

std0<$100

Down

Invested

$60.82

Value

$62.01

PnL

+$1.19

Record

67%

53099-26522 (79621)

FairValueMachine<$100

Down

Invested

$74.75

Value

$60

PnL

-$14.75

Record

56%

12197-9415 (21612)

machinelearned<$100

Down

Invested

$73.34

Value

$56.59

PnL

-$16.76

Record

55%

8367-6803 (15170)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$31.91

Value

$36.74

PnL

+$4.83

Record

61%

93803-58969 (152772)

antsaslyku<$100

Down

Invested

$33.86

Value

$56.57

PnL

+$22.71

Record

66%

111508-57758 (169266)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$29.81

Value

$19.25

PnL

-$0.17

Record

65%

21538-11836 (33374)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$13.54

Value

—

PnL

-$13.54

Record

46%

37841-44422 (82263)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$17.26

Value

—

PnL

-$17.26

Record

55%

17200-13832 (31032)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$9.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.8

Record

65%

124007-66294 (190301)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Invested

$26.86

Value

—

PnL

-$26.86

Record

57%

11734-8731 (20465)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$8.35

Value

—

PnL

-$8.35

Record

48%

23042-25099 (48141)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$9.42

Value

—

PnL

-$9.42

Record

49%

77513-80805 (158318)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19747-18896 (38643)

Smart Money Signal

Down

19 of 26 top traders (73%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd20e21bd...f57abf

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793185500

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Down — $1.7K

+$48.42

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $434.71

+$11.19

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $353.55

+$33.07

13897651

Down — $374.31

+$146.69

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $169.34

-$11.33

Hsilverbasher

Down — $218

+$43.37

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $141.08

-$7.97

GoodFallen

Down — $128.08

-$34.91

ply-pm0

Down — $89.99

-$8.81

thesidehustle

Down — $75.63

+$5

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