Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 83%
$4.3K
$143.79
Smart Money Signal
19 of 24 top traders (79%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 63¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$58.92 | 54% 15169-12706 (27875) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 60.9¢ | $725.6 | $813.35 | +$87.75 | 56% 13457-10749 (24206) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 75¢ | $400.88 | $363.04 | -$37.84 | 59% 22833-16022 (38855) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 64¢ | $295.83 | $317.02 | +$21.18 | 49% 4940-5115 (10055) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 75.7¢ | $229.49 | $241.13 | +$11.64 | 57% 7524-5785 (13309) |
![]() FairValueMachine | Upavg 67.3¢ | $211.83 | $185.91 | -$25.92 | 56% 12187-9408 (21595) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 84.2¢ | $143.19 | $141.1 | -$0.83 | 55% 7122-5828 (12950) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 68.4¢ | $86.56 | $117.33 | +$30.77 | 57% 11726-8722 (20448) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 80.5¢ | $96.99 | $119.99 | +$23.01 | 54% 10336-8828 (19164) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 80.9¢ | $101.26 | $104.51 | +$3.25 | 60% 11909-7821 (19730) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 64.2¢ | $70.34 | $100 | +$29.66 | 57% 10097-7575 (17672) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 61.7¢ | $62.76 | $66.63 | +$3.87 | 67% 53089-26514 (79603) |
![]() machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 81.2¢ | $76.83 | $60 | -$16.83 | 55% 8356-6793 (15149) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $42.99 | $54 | +$11.01 | 49% 77489-80776 (158265) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $39.01 | $53.95 | +$14.94 | 66% 111485-57735 (169220) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $27.08 | — | -$27.08 | 56% 57526-44427 (101953) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $38.7 | $45 | +$6.3 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $18.58 | $21.6 | +$3.02 | 46% 37827-44398 (82225) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $29.16 | $34.39 | +$5.23 | 52% 89240-83721 (172961) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $22.39 | $13.89 | -$6.1 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.3¢ | $16.64 | — | -$16.64 | 12% 17952-132766 (150718) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 43¢ | $299.63 | — | -$29.6 | 29% 352-879 (1231) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $26.72 | — | -$5.93 | 61% 93762-58955 (152717) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3623-2807 (6430) |
Invested
$1,424.5
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$58.92
Record
54%
15169-12706 (27875)
Invested
$725.6
Value
$813.35
PnL
+$87.75
Record
56%
13457-10749 (24206)
Invested
$400.88
Value
$363.04
PnL
-$37.84
Record
59%
22833-16022 (38855)
Invested
$295.83
Value
$317.02
PnL
+$21.18
Record
49%
4940-5115 (10055)
Invested
$229.49
Value
$241.13
PnL
+$11.64
Record
57%
7524-5785 (13309)
FairValueMachineInvested
$211.83
Value
$185.91
PnL
-$25.92
Record
56%
12187-9408 (21595)
Invested
$143.19
Value
$141.1
PnL
-$0.83
Record
55%
7122-5828 (12950)
Invested
$86.56
Value
$117.33
PnL
+$30.77
Record
57%
11726-8722 (20448)
Invested
$96.99
Value
$119.99
PnL
+$23.01
Record
54%
10336-8828 (19164)
Invested
$101.26
Value
$104.51
PnL
+$3.25
Record
60%
11909-7821 (19730)
Invested
$70.34
Value
$100
PnL
+$29.66
Record
57%
10097-7575 (17672)
Invested
$62.76
Value
$66.63
PnL
+$3.87
Record
67%
53089-26514 (79603)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$76.83
Value
$60
PnL
-$16.83
Record
55%
8356-6793 (15149)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$42.99
Value
$54
PnL
+$11.01
Record
49%
77489-80776 (158265)
Invested
$39.01
Value
$53.95
PnL
+$14.94
Record
66%
111485-57735 (169220)
Invested
$27.08
Value
—
PnL
-$27.08
Record
56%
57526-44427 (101953)
Invested
$38.7
Value
$45
PnL
+$6.3
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.58
Value
$21.6
PnL
+$3.02
Record
46%
37827-44398 (82225)
Invested
$29.16
Value
$34.39
PnL
+$5.23
Record
52%
89240-83721 (172961)
Invested
$22.39
Value
$13.89
PnL
-$6.1
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
Invested
$16.64
Value
—
PnL
-$16.64
Record
12%
17952-132766 (150718)
Invested
$299.63
Value
—
PnL
-$29.6
Record
29%
352-879 (1231)
Invested
$26.72
Value
—
PnL
-$5.93
Record
61%
93762-58955 (152717)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3623-2807 (6430)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $1.5K
GoodFallen
Up — $813.35
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $363.04
ply-pm0
Up — $317.02
wzbbb
Up — $241.13

FairValueMachine
Up — $185.91
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $141.1
EZTRADENL2
Up — $117.33
thesidehustle
Up — $119.99
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $104.51