Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 85%

Total Value

$12.2K

Combined PnL

$283.84

Smart Money Signal

29 of 35 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up29 traders

Total Value$12.2K

Total Shares12,215

Combined PnL+$385

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares396

Combined PnL-$101.15

Up — 83%Down — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$3.9K	$3.9K	+$3.93	59% 61946-42948 (104894)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	+$28.91	56% 29206-23027 (52233)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 80.4¢	$723.73	$850	+$171.77	48% 23010-25080 (48090)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 71.8¢	$654.43	$661.17	+$6.73	57% 69604-52928 (122532)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 74.4¢	$333.14	$393.01	+$59.86	12% 17934-132761 (150695)
ST std0	Upavg 83.1¢	$321.41	$341.61	+$20.2	67% 53084-26509 (79593)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 87.6¢	$299	$327.17	+$28.17	66% 124340-64008 (188348)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 72.5¢	$270.7	$282.97	+$12.27	56% 13447-10742 (24189)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 72.5¢	$250.86	$274.3	+$23.43	57% 11716-8714 (20430)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 95.4¢	$269.81	$273	+$3.19	55% 43943-36416 (80359)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 85¢	$260.6	$256.07	-$4.53	59% 22806-15999 (38805)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 86.2¢	$254.01	$249.22	-$4.8	55% 7111-5821 (12932)
machinelearned	Upavg 84.5¢	$194.67	$159.1	-$35.57	55% 8349-6783 (15132)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 83¢	$204.77	$158.86	-$45.91	57% 7509-5775 (13284)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 90.8¢	$176.57	$134.92	-$41.65	60% 11899-7814 (19713)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 64.4¢	$119.72	$128.76	+$9.04	49% 4932-5104 (10036)
ohioism	Upavg 83¢	$136.6	$150.08	+$13.48	64% 39676-22644 (62320)
SE seeeeeeb	Upavg 99¢	$133.65	$135	+$1.35	50% 654-649 (1303)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 90.8¢	$89.49	$97.3	+$7.81	46% 37814-44371 (82185)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 75.3¢	$69.42	$81	+$11.58	56% 12179-9399 (21578)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 83.3¢	$58.5	$66.53	+$8.03	49% 77469-80748 (158217)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 74¢	$49.74	$67.2	+$17.46	52% 89215-83682 (172897)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 78¢	$57.6	$57.18	+$14.27	61% 93726-58934 (152660)
13 13897651	Upavg 48.2¢	$53.39	$110.71	+$57.32	28% 343-872 (1215)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 87¢	$43.53	$50.03	+$6.5	56% 57515-44418 (101933)

0x50f7

Invested

$3,926.47

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$3.93

Record

59%

61946-42948 (104894)

THG.

Invested

$2,862.09

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$28.91

Record

56%

29206-23027 (52233)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$723.73

Value

$850

PnL

+$171.77

Record

48%

23010-25080 (48090)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$654.43

Value

$661.17

PnL

+$6.73

Record

57%

69604-52928 (122532)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$333.14

Value

$393.01

PnL

+$59.86

Record

12%

17934-132761 (150695)

std0

Invested

$321.41

Value

$341.61

PnL

+$20.2

Record

67%

53084-26509 (79593)

asdaefef

Invested

$299

Value

$327.17

PnL

+$28.17

Record

66%

124340-64008 (188348)

GoodFallen

Invested

$270.7

Value

$282.97

PnL

+$12.27

Record

56%

13447-10742 (24189)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$250.86

Value

$274.3

PnL

+$23.43

Record

57%

11716-8714 (20430)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$269.81

Value

$273

PnL

+$3.19

Record

55%

43943-36416 (80359)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$260.6

Value

$256.07

PnL

-$4.53

Record

59%

22806-15999 (38805)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$254.01

Value

$249.22

PnL

-$4.8

Record

55%

7111-5821 (12932)

machinelearned

Invested

$194.67

Value

$159.1

PnL

-$35.57

Record

55%

8349-6783 (15132)

wzbbb

Invested

$204.77

Value

$158.86

PnL

-$45.91

Record

57%

7509-5775 (13284)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$176.57

Value

$134.92

PnL

-$41.65

Record

60%

11899-7814 (19713)

ply-pm0

Invested

$119.72

Value

$128.76

PnL

+$9.04

Record

49%

4932-5104 (10036)

ohioism

Invested

$136.6

Value

$150.08

PnL

+$13.48

Record

64%

39676-22644 (62320)

seeeeeeb

Invested

$133.65

Value

$135

PnL

+$1.35

Record

50%

654-649 (1303)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$89.49

Value

$97.3

PnL

+$7.81

Record

46%

37814-44371 (82185)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$69.42

Value

$81

PnL

+$11.58

Record

56%

12179-9399 (21578)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$58.5

Value

$66.53

PnL

+$8.03

Record

49%

77469-80748 (158217)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$49.74

Value

$67.2

PnL

+$17.46

Record

52%

89215-83682 (172897)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$57.6

Value

$57.18

PnL

+$14.27

Record

61%

93726-58934 (152660)

13897651

Invested

$53.39

Value

$110.71

PnL

+$57.32

Record

28%

343-872 (1215)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$43.53

Value

$50.03

PnL

+$6.5

Record

56%

57515-44418 (101933)

Smart Money Signal

29 of 35 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x71ffc063...1a9190

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793174400

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $3.9K

+$3.93

THG.

Up — $2.9K

+$28.91

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $850

+$171.77

uninformedfloww

Up — $661.17

+$6.73

Hsilverbasher

Up — $393.01

+$59.86

std0

Up — $341.61

+$20.2

asdaefef

Up — $327.17

+$28.17

GoodFallen

Up — $282.97

+$12.27

EZTRADENL2

Up — $274.3

+$23.43

MayorMamdani

Up — $273

+$3.19

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