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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Up 71%

Total Value

$3.3K

Combined PnL

$310.32

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares3,278

Combined PnL+$419.59

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,181

Combined PnL-$109.27

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 94.3¢	$873.12	$916.73	+$43.61	57% 7509-5775 (13284)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 83.7¢	$752.97	$900	+$147.03	48% 23010-25080 (48090)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 91.1¢	$550.16	$603.9	+$53.74	57% 69604-52928 (122532)
13 13897651	Upavg 69.4¢	$342.76	$493.86	+$151.09	28% 343-872 (1215)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$35.41	—	-$35.41	59% 61946-42948 (104894)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 88¢	$114.9	$119.99	+$5.09	49% 4932-5104 (10036)
ST std0<$100	Upavg 93¢	$57.66	$60	+$2.34	67% 53084-26509 (79593)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$46.97	$50	+$3.03	55% 8349-6783 (15132)
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100	Downavg 6.4¢	$44.42	—	-$44.42	12% 17934-132761 (150695)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 89¢	$78.32	$88	+$9.68	60% 11899-7814 (19713)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 91.5¢	$27.45	$30	+$2.55	55% 43943-36416 (80359)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$25.04	—	-$25.04	58% 50745-36872 (87617)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$4.4	—	-$4.4	55% 7111-5821 (12932)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 91¢	$14.34	$15.76	+$1.42	65% 21441-11773 (33214)
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100	Down	—	—	+$0	56% 3622-2807 (6429)

Invested

$873.12

Value

$916.73

PnL

+$43.61

Record

57%

7509-5775 (13284)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$752.97

Value

$900

PnL

+$147.03

Record

48%

23010-25080 (48090)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$550.16

Value

$603.9

PnL

+$53.74

Record

57%

69604-52928 (122532)

Invested

$342.76

Value

$493.86

PnL

+$151.09

Record

28%

343-872 (1215)

Invested

$35.41

Value

—

PnL

-$35.41

Record

59%

61946-42948 (104894)

Invested

$114.9

Value

$119.99

PnL

+$5.09

Record

49%

4932-5104 (10036)

Invested

$57.66

Value

$60

PnL

+$2.34

Record

67%

53084-26509 (79593)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$46.97

Value

$50

PnL

+$3.03

Record

55%

8349-6783 (15132)

HsilverbasherCTR<$100

Invested

$44.42

Value

—

PnL

-$44.42

Record

12%

17934-132761 (150695)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$78.32

Value

$88

PnL

+$9.68

Record

60%

11899-7814 (19713)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$27.45

Value

$30

PnL

+$2.55

Record

55%

43943-36416 (80359)

Invested

$25.04

Value

—

PnL

-$25.04

Record

58%

50745-36872 (87617)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100

Invested

$4.4

Value

—

PnL

-$4.4

Record

55%

7111-5821 (12932)

Invested

$14.34

Value

$15.76

PnL

+$1.42

Record

65%

21441-11773 (33214)

arcsine-barristerCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3622-2807 (6429)

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb932aa45...f8c1ae

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793173500

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Up — $916.73

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $900

uninformedfloww

Up — $603.9

13897651

Up — $493.86

0x50f7

Down — $0

ply-pm0

Up — $119.99

std0

Up — $60

machinelearned

Up — $50

Hsilverbasher

Down — $0

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $88

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