Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 84%
$4.4K
$162.22
Smart Money Signal
22 of 26 top traders (85%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 75.9¢ | $996.41 | $860.58 | -$135.83 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 75.7¢ | $515.02 | $489 | -$26.02 | 57% 7485-5749 (13234) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 70.7¢ | $517.03 | $429.82 | -$83.26 | 60% 11881-7798 (19679) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 62.8¢ | $349.17 | $396.37 | +$47.2 | 57% 11697-8698 (20395) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 44.2¢ | $205.5 | $341.01 | +$135.51 | 56% 12161-9384 (21545) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 36.9¢ | $218.34 | $302.61 | +$84.27 | 56% 13426-10728 (24154) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 46¢ | $184.85 | $281.94 | +$97.09 | 77% 9247-2703 (11950) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $246.31 | $233.73 | -$12.58 | 49% 4915-5086 (10001) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 74.6¢ | $177.1 | $175 | -$2.1 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 46¢ | $138 | — | -$138 | 48% 22997-25056 (48053) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 22.6¢ | $37.45 | $165.42 | +$127.97 | 55% 8329-6768 (15097) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 59.1¢ | $133.49 | $139.52 | +$6.02 | 55% 23571-19073 (42644) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 71.5¢ | $109.98 | $123.39 | +$13.41 | 55% 7092-5806 (12898) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 84.3¢ | $125.34 | $109.88 | -$15.45 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $87.5 | $95.71 | +$103.93 | — |
AS asidjasiodja | Downavg 95.3¢ | $129.66 | $98.24 | -$28.13 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $32.71 | $67.82 | +$35.11 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $62.82 | $57.48 | -$5.33 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $26.02 | — | -$26.02 | 58% 60038-43826 (103864) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 84.5¢ | $23 | $20 | -$3 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.6¢ | $9.62 | — | -$9.62 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $12.03 | $14.74 | +$2.71 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $7.76 | $8.72 | +$0.96 | 63% 50924-30036 (80960) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $6.67 | — | -$6.67 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.67 | $5.73 | +$0.06 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
Invested
$996.41
Value
$860.58
PnL
-$135.83
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
Invested
$515.02
Value
$489
PnL
-$26.02
Record
57%
7485-5749 (13234)
Invested
$517.03
Value
$429.82
PnL
-$83.26
Record
60%
11881-7798 (19679)
Invested
$349.17
Value
$396.37
PnL
+$47.2
Record
57%
11697-8698 (20395)
FairValueMachineInvested
$205.5
Value
$341.01
PnL
+$135.51
Record
56%
12161-9384 (21545)
Invested
$218.34
Value
$302.61
PnL
+$84.27
Record
56%
13426-10728 (24154)
NIULAI4Invested
$184.85
Value
$281.94
PnL
+$97.09
Record
77%
9247-2703 (11950)
Invested
$246.31
Value
$233.73
PnL
-$12.58
Record
49%
4915-5086 (10001)
Invested
$177.1
Value
$175
PnL
-$2.1
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
Invested
$138
Value
—
PnL
-$138
Record
48%
22997-25056 (48053)
machinelearnedInvested
$37.45
Value
$165.42
PnL
+$127.97
Record
55%
8329-6768 (15097)
Invested
$133.49
Value
$139.52
PnL
+$6.02
Record
55%
23571-19073 (42644)
Invested
$109.98
Value
$123.39
PnL
+$13.41
Record
55%
7092-5806 (12898)
Invested
$125.34
Value
$109.88
PnL
-$15.45
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$87.5
Value
$95.71
PnL
+$103.93
Record
—
Invested
$129.66
Value
$98.24
PnL
-$28.13
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$32.71
Value
$67.82
PnL
+$35.11
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
Invested
$62.82
Value
$57.48
PnL
-$5.33
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$26.02
Value
—
PnL
-$26.02
Record
58%
60038-43826 (103864)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$23
Value
$20
PnL
-$3
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.62
Value
—
PnL
-$9.62
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
$12.03
Value
$14.74
PnL
+$2.71
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.76
Value
$8.72
PnL
+$0.96
Record
63%
50924-30036 (80960)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.67
Value
—
PnL
-$6.67
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$5.67
Value
$5.73
PnL
+$0.06
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $860.58
wzbbb
Down — $489
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $429.82
EZTRADENL2
Down — $396.37
FairValueMachine
Down — $341.01
GoodFallen
Down — $302.61
NIULAI4
Down — $281.94
ply-pm0
Down — $233.73
Hsilverbasher
Down — $175
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0