Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 77%
$4.7K
$353.45
Smart Money Signal
21 of 27 top traders (78%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $791.01 | $799 | +$7.99 | 93% 22430-1725 (24155) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 68.1¢ | $592.81 | $599.33 | +$6.52 | 56% 13426-10728 (24154) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 73.1¢ | $477.54 | $646.25 | +$168.72 | 77% 9247-2703 (11950) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 70.6¢ | $565.01 | $582.39 | +$17.38 | 49% 4915-5086 (10001) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 69.3¢ | $383.01 | $318.03 | -$64.98 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 91.7¢ | $359.25 | $350.01 | -$9.24 | 57% 7485-5749 (13234) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 71.5¢ | $251.57 | $328.25 | +$78.23 | 55% 7092-5806 (12898) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 70.8¢ | $264.92 | $251.06 | -$13.86 | 56% 12161-9384 (21545) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 74¢ | $146.52 | $198 | +$51.48 | 57% 11697-8698 (20395) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 72.5¢ | $101.23 | $139.64 | +$38.41 | 55% 23571-19073 (42644) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 78¢ | $103.12 | $132.15 | +$29.03 | 56% 57485-44407 (101892) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 55.8¢ | $98.98 | $144.6 | +$45.62 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 51.3¢ | $34.04 | $66.35 | +$32.31 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $35.2 | $50 | +$14.8 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $26.33 | $44.22 | +$17.89 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 55.3¢ | $17.17 | $28.54 | +$11.37 | 55% 8329-6768 (15097) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75.3¢ | $23.74 | $28.69 | +$4.95 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $26.51 | $21.33 | -$2.14 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $33.45 | — | -$33.45 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $6.65 | $10 | +$3.35 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 82.8¢ | $4.91 | $5.87 | +$0.96 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $8.61 | — | -$8.61 | 63% 50924-30036 (80960) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.2¢ | $6.09 | — | -$6.09 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.9¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 60% 11881-7798 (19679) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 50% 7616-7631 (15247) |
Invested
$791.01
Value
$799
PnL
+$7.99
Record
93%
22430-1725 (24155)
Invested
$592.81
Value
$599.33
PnL
+$6.52
Record
56%
13426-10728 (24154)
NIULAI4Invested
$477.54
Value
$646.25
PnL
+$168.72
Record
77%
9247-2703 (11950)
Invested
$565.01
Value
$582.39
PnL
+$17.38
Record
49%
4915-5086 (10001)
Invested
$383.01
Value
$318.03
PnL
-$64.98
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
Invested
$359.25
Value
$350.01
PnL
-$9.24
Record
57%
7485-5749 (13234)
Invested
$251.57
Value
$328.25
PnL
+$78.23
Record
55%
7092-5806 (12898)
FairValueMachineInvested
$264.92
Value
$251.06
PnL
-$13.86
Record
56%
12161-9384 (21545)
Invested
$146.52
Value
$198
PnL
+$51.48
Record
57%
11697-8698 (20395)
Invested
$101.23
Value
$139.64
PnL
+$38.41
Record
55%
23571-19073 (42644)
Invested
$103.12
Value
$132.15
PnL
+$29.03
Record
56%
57485-44407 (101892)
Invested
$98.98
Value
$144.6
PnL
+$45.62
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$34.04
Value
$66.35
PnL
+$32.31
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
$35.2
Value
$50
PnL
+$14.8
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$26.33
Value
$44.22
PnL
+$17.89
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$17.17
Value
$28.54
PnL
+$11.37
Record
55%
8329-6768 (15097)
Invested
$23.74
Value
$28.69
PnL
+$4.95
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$26.51
Value
$21.33
PnL
-$2.14
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$33.45
Value
—
PnL
-$33.45
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.35
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
Invested
$4.91
Value
$5.87
PnL
+$0.96
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.61
Value
—
PnL
-$8.61
Record
63%
50924-30036 (80960)
Invested
$6.09
Value
—
PnL
-$6.09
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
60%
11881-7798 (19679)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
50%
7616-7631 (15247)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $799
GoodFallen
Up — $599.33
NIULAI4
Up — $646.25
ply-pm0
Up — $582.39
Bonereaper
Up — $318.03
wzbbb
Up — $350.01
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $328.25
FairValueMachine
Up — $251.06
EZTRADENL2
Up — $198
sir-upalot
Up — $139.64