Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 74%
$3.0K
$449.31
Smart Money Signal
18 of 24 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 52.9¢ | $436.55 | $498.35 | +$61.79 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 52.8¢ | $218.11 | $267.35 | +$49.24 | 56% 13426-10728 (24154) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 57.3¢ | $158.72 | $259.21 | +$100.49 | 55% 8329-6768 (15097) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 50.8¢ | $169.57 | $252.27 | +$82.7 | 56% 12161-9384 (21545) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $152.78 | $246.93 | +$94.15 | 57% 11697-8698 (20395) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $203.03 | $192.26 | -$10.77 | 49% 4915-5086 (10001) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 64.4¢ | $152.43 | $194 | +$41.57 | 57% 7485-5749 (13234) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 64.9¢ | $188.91 | $184.5 | -$4.41 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Downavg 99¢ | $151.24 | $152.77 | +$1.53 | 63% 50924-30036 (80960) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 83.8¢ | $142.54 | $124.98 | -$17.56 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 76.5¢ | $115.59 | $144.03 | +$28.44 | 55% 7092-5806 (12898) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 69.3¢ | $103.99 | $149.99 | +$46 | 55% 23571-19073 (42644) |
SE seeeeeeb | Downavg 75¢ | $120.68 | $160.91 | +$40.23 | 50% 644-644 (1288) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $51.06 | $44 | -$7.06 | 60% 11881-7798 (19679) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $62.4 | — | -$62.4 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $45.89 | $53.08 | +$7.19 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $29.45 | $60.1 | +$30.65 | 58% 50724-36860 (87584) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $25.61 | $40 | +$14.39 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.3¢ | $12.25 | — | -$12.25 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $13.59 | — | -$13.59 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $8.38 | — | -$8.38 | 48% 22997-25056 (48053) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | $4.92 | — | -$4.92 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.2¢ | $7.72 | — | -$7.72 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3622-2807 (6429) |
Invested
$436.55
Value
$498.35
PnL
+$61.79
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
Invested
$218.11
Value
$267.35
PnL
+$49.24
Record
56%
13426-10728 (24154)
machinelearnedInvested
$158.72
Value
$259.21
PnL
+$100.49
Record
55%
8329-6768 (15097)
FairValueMachineInvested
$169.57
Value
$252.27
PnL
+$82.7
Record
56%
12161-9384 (21545)
Invested
$152.78
Value
$246.93
PnL
+$94.15
Record
57%
11697-8698 (20395)
Invested
$203.03
Value
$192.26
PnL
-$10.77
Record
49%
4915-5086 (10001)
Invested
$152.43
Value
$194
PnL
+$41.57
Record
57%
7485-5749 (13234)
Invested
$188.91
Value
$184.5
PnL
-$4.41
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$151.24
Value
$152.77
PnL
+$1.53
Record
63%
50924-30036 (80960)
Invested
$142.54
Value
$124.98
PnL
-$17.56
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$115.59
Value
$144.03
PnL
+$28.44
Record
55%
7092-5806 (12898)
Invested
$103.99
Value
$149.99
PnL
+$46
Record
55%
23571-19073 (42644)
Invested
$120.68
Value
$160.91
PnL
+$40.23
Record
50%
644-644 (1288)
Invested
$51.06
Value
$44
PnL
-$7.06
Record
60%
11881-7798 (19679)
Invested
$62.4
Value
—
PnL
-$62.4
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
Invested
$45.89
Value
$53.08
PnL
+$7.19
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$29.45
Value
$60.1
PnL
+$30.65
Record
58%
50724-36860 (87584)
Invested
$25.61
Value
$40
PnL
+$14.39
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$12.25
Value
—
PnL
-$12.25
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$13.59
Value
—
PnL
-$13.59
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$8.38
Value
—
PnL
-$8.38
Record
48%
22997-25056 (48053)
Invested
$4.92
Value
—
PnL
-$4.92
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.72
Value
—
PnL
-$7.72
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3622-2807 (6429)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $498.35
GoodFallen
Down — $267.35
machinelearned
Down — $259.21
FairValueMachine
Down — $252.27
EZTRADENL2
Down — $246.93
ply-pm0
Down — $192.26
wzbbb
Down — $194
Hsilverbasher
Down — $184.5
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $152.77
asdaefef
Down — $124.98