Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 71%
$7.3K
$38.48
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | -$5.82 | 59% 61913-42908 (104821) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $2.8K | $2.9K | +$28.72 | 56% 29201-23026 (52227) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $332.74 | $478.77 | +$146.04 | — |
 machinelearned | Downavg 85.4¢ | $159.01 | $184.64 | +$25.62 | 55% 8329-6768 (15097) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $128.99 | $129.99 | +$1 | 49% 4915-5086 (10001) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 84.7¢ | $118.36 | $130 | +$13.1 | 60% 11881-7798 (19679) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 22.9¢ | $104.18 | — | -$104.18 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $70.84 | — | -$70.84 | 58% 50724-36860 (87584) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 82.9¢ | $71.23 | $68.61 | -$2.63 | 55% 7092-5806 (12898) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 76.9¢ | $49.89 | $64.87 | +$14.98 | 57% 11697-8698 (20395) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $43.78 | $46.39 | +$2.61 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $37 | $50 | +$13 | 55% 23571-19073 (42644) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87.3¢ | $35.22 | $40.35 | +$5.13 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $34.55 | $39.55 | +$5 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $37.48 | $34.98 | -$2.5 | 56% 13426-10728 (24154) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $11.41 | — | -$11.41 | 64% 39652-22624 (62276) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $48.82 | $64 | +$15.18 | 48% 22997-25056 (48053) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.6¢ | $21.05 | $15.29 | +$7.05 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $22.12 | — | -$22.12 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.2¢ | $11.3 | — | -$11.3 | 56% 12161-9384 (21545) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $5.13 | $5 | -$0.13 | 57% 7485-5749 (13234) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3¢ | $6.5 | — | -$6.5 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $4.79 | $6.84 | +$2.05 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.1¢ | $3.56 | — | -$3.56 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3622-2807 (6429) |
Invested
$3,088.34
Value
$3.1K
PnL
-$5.82
Record
59%
61913-42908 (104821)
Invested
$2,843.28
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$28.72
Record
56%
29201-23026 (52227)
Invested
$332.74
Value
$478.77
PnL
+$146.04
Record
—
machinelearnedInvested
$159.01
Value
$184.64
PnL
+$25.62
Record
55%
8329-6768 (15097)
Invested
$128.99
Value
$129.99
PnL
+$1
Record
49%
4915-5086 (10001)
Invested
$118.36
Value
$130
PnL
+$13.1
Record
60%
11881-7798 (19679)
Invested
$104.18
Value
—
PnL
-$104.18
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
Invested
$70.84
Value
—
PnL
-$70.84
Record
58%
50724-36860 (87584)
Invested
$71.23
Value
$68.61
PnL
-$2.63
Record
55%
7092-5806 (12898)
Invested
$49.89
Value
$64.87
PnL
+$14.98
Record
57%
11697-8698 (20395)
Invested
$43.78
Value
$46.39
PnL
+$2.61
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
Invested
$37
Value
$50
PnL
+$13
Record
55%
23571-19073 (42644)
Invested
$35.22
Value
$40.35
PnL
+$5.13
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$34.55
Value
$39.55
PnL
+$5
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$37.48
Value
$34.98
PnL
-$2.5
Record
56%
13426-10728 (24154)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.41
Value
—
PnL
-$11.41
Record
64%
39652-22624 (62276)
Invested
$48.82
Value
$64
PnL
+$15.18
Record
48%
22997-25056 (48053)
Invested
$21.05
Value
$15.29
PnL
+$7.05
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$22.12
Value
—
PnL
-$22.12
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$11.3
Value
—
PnL
-$11.3
Record
56%
12161-9384 (21545)
Invested
$5.13
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.13
Record
57%
7485-5749 (13234)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.5
Value
—
PnL
-$6.5
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$4.79
Value
$6.84
PnL
+$2.05
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.56
Value
—
PnL
-$3.56
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3622-2807 (6429)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.1K
THG.
Down — $2.9K
13897651
Down — $478.77
machinelearned
Down — $184.64
ply-pm0
Down — $129.99
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $130
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $68.61
EZTRADENL2
Down — $64.87