Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 74%
1 arb excluded
$3.7K
-$131.3
Smart Money Signal
17 of 24 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 97.5¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$27.06 | 57% 7485-5749 (13234) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 80.8¢ | $759.72 | $863.12 | +$103.4 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 96.9¢ | $315.18 | $315 | -$0.18 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $275.23 | $264.15 | -$11.08 | 49% 4915-5086 (10001) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 99¢ | $272.08 | $262.6 | -$9.48 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 88.3¢ | $202.55 | $175.12 | -$27.43 | 55% 8329-6768 (15097) |
GO GoodFallenARB<$100 | Upavg 58.7¢ | $142.89 | $185 | +$42.11 | 56% 13426-10728 (24154) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 58.7¢ | $108.55 | $185 | +$76.45 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52.8¢ | $34.34 | — | -$34.34 | |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Downavg 48.1¢ | $108.32 | — | -$108.32 | 57% 11697-8698 (20395) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 54¢ | $104.49 | — | -$104.49 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 90.9¢ | $88.6 | $94.25 | +$5.65 | 55% 7092-5806 (12898) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $70.62 | $71.33 | +$0.71 | 93% 22430-1725 (24155) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $54.83 | $68.99 | +$14.16 | 60% 11881-7798 (19679) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $66.06 | $75.07 | +$9.01 | 74% 102066-36293 (138359) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $43 | $50 | +$7 | 55% 23571-19073 (42644) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 90.9¢ | $40.41 | $44.45 | +$4.04 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $38.48 | $44.38 | +$5.9 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 56.8¢ | $343.39 | — | -$43.24 | — |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93.1¢ | $31.12 | $33.42 | +$2.3 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 74.2¢ | $24.38 | $32.85 | +$8.47 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $15.6 | — | -$15.6 | 56% 12161-9384 (21545) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $9 | $15 | +$6 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $8.9 | — | -$8.9 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 59% 61913-42908 (104821) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $3.82 | $7.96 | +$4.14 | 58% 50724-36860 (87584) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3622-2807 (6429) |
Invested
$1,054.94
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$27.06
Record
57%
7485-5749 (13234)
Invested
$759.72
Value
$863.12
PnL
+$103.4
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$315.18
Value
$315
PnL
-$0.18
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$275.23
Value
$264.15
PnL
-$11.08
Record
49%
4915-5086 (10001)
pspspsps5Invested
$272.08
Value
$262.6
PnL
-$9.48
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
machinelearnedInvested
$202.55
Value
$175.12
PnL
-$27.43
Record
55%
8329-6768 (15097)
Invested
$142.89
Value
$185
PnL
+$42.11
Record
56%
13426-10728 (24154)
Both legs:
Invested
$108.32
Value
—
PnL
-$108.32
Record
57%
11697-8698 (20395)
Invested
$104.49
Value
—
PnL
-$104.49
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
Invested
$88.6
Value
$94.25
PnL
+$5.65
Record
55%
7092-5806 (12898)
Invested
$70.62
Value
$71.33
PnL
+$0.71
Record
93%
22430-1725 (24155)
Invested
$54.83
Value
$68.99
PnL
+$14.16
Record
60%
11881-7798 (19679)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$66.06
Value
$75.07
PnL
+$9.01
Record
74%
102066-36293 (138359)
Invested
$43
Value
$50
PnL
+$7
Record
55%
23571-19073 (42644)
Invested
$40.41
Value
$44.45
PnL
+$4.04
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$38.48
Value
$44.38
PnL
+$5.9
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$343.39
Value
—
PnL
-$43.24
Record
—
Invested
$31.12
Value
$33.42
PnL
+$2.3
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
Invested
$24.38
Value
$32.85
PnL
+$8.47
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$15.6
Value
—
PnL
-$15.6
Record
56%
12161-9384 (21545)
Invested
$9
Value
$15
PnL
+$6
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
—
PnL
-$8.9
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
59%
61913-42908 (104821)
Invested
$3.82
Value
$7.96
PnL
+$4.14
Record
58%
50724-36860 (87584)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3622-2807 (6429)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Up — $1.1K
Bonereaper
Up — $863.12
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $315
ply-pm0
Up — $264.15
pspspsps5
Up — $262.6
machinelearned
Up — $175.12
GoodFallen
ARBArbitrage — excluded
EZTRADENL2
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $94.25