Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 77%
$6.4K
$160.55
Smart Money Signal
17 of 23 top traders (74%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.8K | $3.8K | +$3.85 | 59% 61899-42898 (104797) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 76¢ | $697.4 | $721.16 | +$23.76 | 66% 98433-50894 (149327) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 63.5¢ | $230.11 | $300 | +$69.89 | 55% 8321-6761 (15082) |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Downavg 97.3¢ | $251 | $257.94 | +$6.94 | 63% 50900-30030 (80930) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $169.06 | $269.56 | +$100.5 | 57% 11689-8690 (20379) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 61.5¢ | $192.67 | $175 | -$17.67 | 56% 13416-10721 (24137) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 73.6¢ | $110.33 | $149.98 | +$39.65 | 55% 7079-5800 (12879) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 70.5¢ | $140.2 | $131.82 | -$8.37 | 56% 12150-9378 (21528) |
SE seeeeeeb | Downavg 62¢ | $81.22 | $131 | +$49.78 | 50% 634-639 (1273) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $59.65 | $84.19 | +$24.54 | 49% 4911-5073 (9984) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $71.96 | $84 | +$12.04 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $54.05 | $55.15 | +$1.1 | 65% 3866-2081 (5947) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $50 | — | -$50 | 57% 10065-7554 (17619) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $82.32 | — | -$82.32 | 60% 11871-7789 (19660) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $46.25 | — | -$46.25 | 12% 17904-132728 (150632) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $35.74 | $47.27 | +$11.53 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $38.65 | $45 | +$6.35 | 57% 7475-5735 (13210) |
30 0x3089...35e4<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $41.24 | $82.7 | +$41.46 | — |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $37.46 | $41.07 | +$16.6 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 10.5¢ | $31.38 | — | -$31.38 | 48% 22992-25043 (48035) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $19.65 | — | -$19.65 | 66% 111385-57646 (169031) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $12.81 | $21 | +$8.19 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3621-2807 (6428) |
Invested
$3,844.16
Value
$3.8K
PnL
+$3.85
Record
59%
61899-42898 (104797)
Invested
$697.4
Value
$721.16
PnL
+$23.76
Record
66%
98433-50894 (149327)
machinelearnedInvested
$230.11
Value
$300
PnL
+$69.89
Record
55%
8321-6761 (15082)
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$251
Value
$257.94
PnL
+$6.94
Record
63%
50900-30030 (80930)
Invested
$169.06
Value
$269.56
PnL
+$100.5
Record
57%
11689-8690 (20379)
Invested
$192.67
Value
$175
PnL
-$17.67
Record
56%
13416-10721 (24137)
Invested
$110.33
Value
$149.98
PnL
+$39.65
Record
55%
7079-5800 (12879)
FairValueMachineInvested
$140.2
Value
$131.82
PnL
-$8.37
Record
56%
12150-9378 (21528)
Invested
$81.22
Value
$131
PnL
+$49.78
Record
50%
634-639 (1273)
Invested
$59.65
Value
$84.19
PnL
+$24.54
Record
49%
4911-5073 (9984)
Invested
$71.96
Value
$84
PnL
+$12.04
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$54.05
Value
$55.15
PnL
+$1.1
Record
65%
3866-2081 (5947)
Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$50
Record
57%
10065-7554 (17619)
Invested
$82.32
Value
—
PnL
-$82.32
Record
60%
11871-7789 (19660)
Invested
$46.25
Value
—
PnL
-$46.25
Record
12%
17904-132728 (150632)
Invested
$35.74
Value
$47.27
PnL
+$11.53
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Invested
$38.65
Value
$45
PnL
+$6.35
Record
57%
7475-5735 (13210)
Invested
$41.24
Value
$82.7
PnL
+$41.46
Record
—
Invested
$37.46
Value
$41.07
PnL
+$16.6
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
Invested
$31.38
Value
—
PnL
-$31.38
Record
48%
22992-25043 (48035)
Invested
$19.65
Value
—
PnL
-$19.65
Record
66%
111385-57646 (169031)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.81
Value
$21
PnL
+$8.19
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3621-2807 (6428)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.8K
Bonereaper
Down — $721.16
machinelearned
Down — $300
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $257.94
EZTRADENL2
Down — $269.56
GoodFallen
Down — $175
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $149.98
FairValueMachine
Down — $131.82
seeeeeeb
Down — $131
ply-pm0
Down — $84.19