Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 72%
$6.5K
-$65.57
Smart Money Signal
18 of 25 top traders (72%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.04 | 59% 61899-42898 (104797) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$18.38 | 74% 102046-36291 (138337) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 81.3¢ | $439.97 | $365.42 | -$74.55 | 66% 98433-50894 (149327) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 96¢ | $312.96 | $326 | +$13.04 | 57% 7475-5735 (13210) |
AM Amit11111CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.1¢ | $86 | — | -$86 | 53% 115-104 (219) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 99¢ | $212.58 | $204.98 | -$7.6 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $108.53 | $102.99 | -$5.54 | 49% 4911-5073 (9984) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $84.25 | $95.76 | +$11.51 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $63.38 | $65 | +$1.62 | 56% 13416-10721 (24137) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 86¢ | $86.04 | $100.05 | +$14.01 | 58% 60028-43822 (103850) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $46.03 | $48.86 | +$2.83 | 60% 11871-7789 (19660) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $49.82 | $62.01 | +$12.19 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 68.4¢ | $34.2 | $50 | +$15.8 | 12% 17904-132728 (150632) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $40.8 | $47.35 | +$6.55 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 60.3¢ | $25.47 | $42.25 | +$16.78 | 57% 11689-8690 (20379) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | $22.85 | $34.35 | +$11.5 | 56% 12150-9378 (21528) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.7¢ | $11.89 | — | -$11.89 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $19.98 | $22.2 | +$2.22 | 56% 57474-44398 (101872) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $9.48 | — | -$9.48 | 55% 7079-5800 (12879) |
30 0x3089...35e4<$100 | Downavg 63.3¢ | $7.45 | $11.77 | +$4.32 | — |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 64% 39642-22617 (62259) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $8.7 | $10 | +$1.3 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $0.86 | — | -$0.86 | 55% 23564-19066 (42630) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 55% 8321-6761 (15082) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111385-57646 (169031) |
Invested
$3,034.77
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.04
Record
59%
61899-42898 (104797)
BoneOhioInvested
$1,820.01
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$18.38
Record
74%
102046-36291 (138337)
Invested
$439.97
Value
$365.42
PnL
-$74.55
Record
66%
98433-50894 (149327)
Invested
$312.96
Value
$326
PnL
+$13.04
Record
57%
7475-5735 (13210)
Invested
$86
Value
—
PnL
-$86
Record
53%
115-104 (219)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$212.58
Value
$204.98
PnL
-$7.6
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$108.53
Value
$102.99
PnL
-$5.54
Record
49%
4911-5073 (9984)
Invested
$84.25
Value
$95.76
PnL
+$11.51
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Invested
$63.38
Value
$65
PnL
+$1.62
Record
56%
13416-10721 (24137)
Invested
$86.04
Value
$100.05
PnL
+$14.01
Record
58%
60028-43822 (103850)
Invested
$46.03
Value
$48.86
PnL
+$2.83
Record
60%
11871-7789 (19660)
Invested
$49.82
Value
$62.01
PnL
+$12.19
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Invested
$34.2
Value
$50
PnL
+$15.8
Record
12%
17904-132728 (150632)
Invested
$40.8
Value
$47.35
PnL
+$6.55
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$25.47
Value
$42.25
PnL
+$16.78
Record
57%
11689-8690 (20379)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$22.85
Value
$34.35
PnL
+$11.5
Record
56%
12150-9378 (21528)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$11.89
Value
—
PnL
-$11.89
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$19.98
Value
$22.2
PnL
+$2.22
Record
56%
57474-44398 (101872)
Invested
$9.48
Value
—
PnL
-$9.48
Record
55%
7079-5800 (12879)
Invested
$7.45
Value
$11.77
PnL
+$4.32
Record
—
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
64%
39642-22617 (62259)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.3
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$0.86
Record
55%
23564-19066 (42630)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
55%
8321-6761 (15082)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111385-57646 (169031)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
BoneOhio
Down — $1.8K
Bonereaper
Down — $365.42
wzbbb
Down — $326
Amit11111
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $204.98
ply-pm0
Down — $102.99
uninformedfloww
Down — $95.76
GoodFallen
Down — $65
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $100.05