Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 69%
1 arb excluded
$6.1K
-$17.24
Smart Money Signal
19 of 27 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | +$3.11 | 59% 61890-42888 (104778) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 91.3¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$5.12 | 57% 7465-5727 (13192) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 96.8¢ | $767.51 | $792.57 | +$25.06 | 93% 22393-1721 (24114) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 85.6¢ | $144.29 | $164.99 | +$20.7 | 51% 16910-16497 (33407) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 63.4¢ | $118.76 | $158.31 | +$39.55 | 60% 11862-7780 (19642) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 57.1¢ | $142.7 | $131.11 | -$11.59 | 56% 13408-10714 (24122) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 90.3¢ | $91 | $100.76 | +$9.76 | 57% 10059-7541 (17600) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 70.3¢ | $117.42 | $90 | -$27.42 | 49% 4903-5064 (9967) |
 FairValueMachineARB<$100 | Downavg 46.1¢ | $80.36 | $38.19 | -$42.17 | 56% 12142-9373 (21515) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.1¢ | $59.9 | — | -$59.9 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.6¢ | $20.46 | $38.19 | +$17.73 | |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $61.25 | $72.92 | +$11.67 | 64% 39631-22613 (62244) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $52.91 | $55.69 | +$2.78 | 55% 43850-36279 (80129) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 57.7¢ | $44.29 | $50.77 | +$6.48 | 66% 111247-57501 (168748) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88.4¢ | $45.96 | $51.97 | +$6.01 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 88.3¢ | $41.45 | $46.94 | +$5.49 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $42.99 | $37.38 | -$5.61 | 55% 8312-6754 (15066) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90.3¢ | $40.41 | $44.77 | +$4.36 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.9¢ | $38.4 | — | -$38.4 | 46% 37781-44261 (82042) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $40.21 | — | -$40.21 | 55% 7072-5790 (12862) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $13.72 | $28 | +$14.28 | 66% 98425-50873 (149298) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $22.75 | $13.88 | +$1.71 | 65% 21073-11552 (32625) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $13.59 | — | -$13.59 | 55% 23513-19032 (42545) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $2.48 | — | -$2.48 | 55% 49928-40557 (90485) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.6¢ | $6.08 | — | -$6.08 | 55% 47865-39475 (87340) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.7¢ | $22.38 | — | -$22.38 | 57% 11675-8685 (20360) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $9.03 | — | -$9.03 | 56% 57463-44387 (101850) |
Invested
$3,104.51
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$3.11
Record
59%
61890-42888 (104778)
Invested
$1,086.38
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$5.12
Record
57%
7465-5727 (13192)
Invested
$767.51
Value
$792.57
PnL
+$25.06
Record
93%
22393-1721 (24114)
Invested
$144.29
Value
$164.99
PnL
+$20.7
Record
51%
16910-16497 (33407)
Invested
$118.76
Value
$158.31
PnL
+$39.55
Record
60%
11862-7780 (19642)
Invested
$142.7
Value
$131.11
PnL
-$11.59
Record
56%
13408-10714 (24122)
Invested
$91
Value
$100.76
PnL
+$9.76
Record
57%
10059-7541 (17600)
Invested
$117.42
Value
$90
PnL
-$27.42
Record
49%
4903-5064 (9967)
FairValueMachineARB<$100Invested
$80.36
Value
$38.19
PnL
-$42.17
Record
56%
12142-9373 (21515)
Both legs:
ohioism<$100Invested
$61.25
Value
$72.92
PnL
+$11.67
Record
64%
39631-22613 (62244)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$52.91
Value
$55.69
PnL
+$2.78
Record
55%
43850-36279 (80129)
Invested
$44.29
Value
$50.77
PnL
+$6.48
Record
66%
111247-57501 (168748)
Invested
$45.96
Value
$51.97
PnL
+$6.01
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
Invested
$41.45
Value
$46.94
PnL
+$5.49
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$42.99
Value
$37.38
PnL
-$5.61
Record
55%
8312-6754 (15066)
Invested
$40.41
Value
$44.77
PnL
+$4.36
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$38.4
Value
—
PnL
-$38.4
Record
46%
37781-44261 (82042)
Invested
$40.21
Value
—
PnL
-$40.21
Record
55%
7072-5790 (12862)
Invested
$13.72
Value
$28
PnL
+$14.28
Record
66%
98425-50873 (149298)
Invested
$22.75
Value
$13.88
PnL
+$1.71
Record
65%
21073-11552 (32625)
Invested
$13.59
Value
—
PnL
-$13.59
Record
55%
23513-19032 (42545)
Invested
$2.48
Value
—
PnL
-$2.48
Record
55%
49928-40557 (90485)
Invested
$6.08
Value
—
PnL
-$6.08
Record
55%
47865-39475 (87340)
Invested
$22.38
Value
—
PnL
-$22.38
Record
57%
11675-8685 (20360)
Invested
$9.03
Value
—
PnL
-$9.03
Record
56%
57463-44387 (101850)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.1K
wzbbb
Up — $1.1K
hoodquant
Up — $792.57
gansinimen
Up — $164.99
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $158.31
GoodFallen
Up — $131.11
trdyugiolkw
Up — $100.76
ply-pm0
Up — $90
FairValueMachine
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
Up — $72.92