Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 75%
$3.1K
$3.94
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 95.2¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$16.12 | 57% 7465-5727 (13192) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 77.9¢ | $201.05 | $200 | -$1.05 | 49% 4903-5064 (9967) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 78.1¢ | $140.93 | $174.86 | +$33.93 | 55% 7072-5790 (12862) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 59.2¢ | $155.51 | $167 | +$11.49 | 66% 98425-50873 (149298) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 89.5¢ | $107.4 | $120 | +$12.6 | 57% 10059-7541 (17600) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 66.4¢ | $76.51 | $113.67 | +$37.17 | 55% 8312-6754 (15066) |
![]() ohioism | Upavg 90¢ | $98.25 | $109.17 | +$10.92 | 64% 39631-22613 (62244) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $90.98 | $99.98 | +$9 | 51% 16910-16497 (33407) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 71.4¢ | $75.9 | $97.54 | +$21.64 | 56% 13408-10714 (24122) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.3¢ | $51.02 | — | -$51.02 | 56% 49132-39393 (88525) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.2¢ | $29.74 | — | -$29.74 | 55% 47865-39475 (87340) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95.7¢ | $45 | $46.42 | +$1.44 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $63.09 | $44 | -$19.09 | 60% 11862-7780 (19642) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.3¢ | $42.2 | $49.46 | +$7.26 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $38.3 | $38 | -$0.3 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.6¢ | $44.82 | — | -$44.82 | 57% 11675-8685 (20360) |
![]() FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.9¢ | $8.6 | — | -$8.6 | 56% 12142-9373 (21515) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.9¢ | $11.74 | — | -$11.74 | 55% 49928-40557 (90485) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $5.28 | $11 | +$5.72 | 12% 17900-132721 (150621) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $4.92 | $7.93 | +$3.01 | 66% 111247-57501 (168748) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3613-2803 (6416) |
Invested
$1,792.72
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$16.12
Record
57%
7465-5727 (13192)
Invested
$201.05
Value
$200
PnL
-$1.05
Record
49%
4903-5064 (9967)
Invested
$140.93
Value
$174.86
PnL
+$33.93
Record
55%
7072-5790 (12862)
Invested
$155.51
Value
$167
PnL
+$11.49
Record
66%
98425-50873 (149298)
Invested
$107.4
Value
$120
PnL
+$12.6
Record
57%
10059-7541 (17600)
machinelearnedInvested
$76.51
Value
$113.67
PnL
+$37.17
Record
55%
8312-6754 (15066)
ohioismInvested
$98.25
Value
$109.17
PnL
+$10.92
Record
64%
39631-22613 (62244)
Invested
$90.98
Value
$99.98
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
16910-16497 (33407)
Invested
$75.9
Value
$97.54
PnL
+$21.64
Record
56%
13408-10714 (24122)
Invested
$51.02
Value
—
PnL
-$51.02
Record
56%
49132-39393 (88525)
Invested
$29.74
Value
—
PnL
-$29.74
Record
55%
47865-39475 (87340)
Invested
$45
Value
$46.42
PnL
+$1.44
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
Invested
$63.09
Value
$44
PnL
-$19.09
Record
60%
11862-7780 (19642)
Invested
$42.2
Value
$49.46
PnL
+$7.26
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
Invested
$38.3
Value
$38
PnL
-$0.3
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
Invested
$44.82
Value
—
PnL
-$44.82
Record
57%
11675-8685 (20360)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$8.6
Value
—
PnL
-$8.6
Record
56%
12142-9373 (21515)
Invested
$11.74
Value
—
PnL
-$11.74
Record
55%
49928-40557 (90485)
Invested
$5.28
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.72
Record
12%
17900-132721 (150621)
Invested
$4.92
Value
$7.93
PnL
+$3.01
Record
66%
111247-57501 (168748)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3613-2803 (6416)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Up — $1.8K
ply-pm0
Up — $200
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $174.86
Bonereaper
Up — $167
trdyugiolkw
Up — $120

machinelearned
Up — $113.67

ohioism
Up — $109.17
gansinimen
Up — $99.98
GoodFallen
Up — $97.54
bosona
CTRDown — $0