Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Up 58%
1 arb excluded
$4.2K
$825.41
Smart Money Signal
18 of 32 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 19.6¢ | $310.34 | $890.53 | +$580.19 | 57% 7465-5727 (13192) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 6¢ | $41.54 | $583.67 | +$542.13 | 62% 43532-26459 (69991) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 63.5¢ | $330.93 | $392.02 | +$61.34 | 55% 7072-5790 (12862) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $378.13 | $382 | +$3.87 | 93% 22393-1721 (24114) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 63.8¢ | $376.79 | — | -$376.79 | 49% 4903-5064 (9967) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 62.3¢ | $265.11 | $288.18 | +$23.07 | 56% 13408-10714 (24122) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $231.23 | $276.53 | +$45.31 | 77% 9240-2696 (11936) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 73.8¢ | $240.05 | $251.31 | +$11.27 | 56% 12142-9373 (21515) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR | Downavg 46.7¢ | $197.4 | — | -$197.4 | 60% 11862-7780 (19642) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 81.2¢ | $171.14 | $210.64 | +$39.5 | 55% 23513-19032 (42545) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Downavg 56.3¢ | $135.29 | — | -$135.29 | 57% 11675-8685 (20360) |
AL almach | Upavg 52.2¢ | $84.69 | $150.35 | +$65.66 | 55% 47865-39475 (87340) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 45.4¢ | $68.42 | $138 | +$69.58 | 55% 49928-40557 (90485) |
BO bosona | Upavg 36.4¢ | $47.3 | $104.29 | +$56.99 | 56% 49132-39393 (88525) |
SP spartacrayCTR | Downavg 83¢ | $109.49 | — | -$109.49 | 53% 26809-23884 (50693) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $95.19 | — | -$95.19 | 55% 8312-6754 (15066) |
AN antsaslykuARB<$100 | Downavg 16.6¢ | $94.38 | $48.56 | -$45.82 | 66% 111247-57501 (168748) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65.6¢ | $31.85 | $48.56 | +$16.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 16.6¢ | $62.52 | — | -$62.52 | |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.3¢ | $8.64 | — | -$8.64 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $36.63 | — | -$36.63 | 57% 10059-7541 (17600) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81.4¢ | $95.71 | $50 | -$42.71 | 65% 21073-11552 (32625) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $16.85 | — | -$16.85 | 66% 98425-50873 (149298) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $23.27 | — | -$23.27 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $18.48 | — | -$18.48 | 55% 43850-36279 (80129) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.5¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 50% 7602-7622 (15224) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 6.1¢ | $10.1 | $165.05 | +$154.96 | 46% 37781-44261 (82042) |
Invested
$310.34
Value
$890.53
PnL
+$580.19
Record
57%
7465-5727 (13192)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$41.54
Value
$583.67
PnL
+$542.13
Record
62%
43532-26459 (69991)
Invested
$330.93
Value
$392.02
PnL
+$61.34
Record
55%
7072-5790 (12862)
Invested
$378.13
Value
$382
PnL
+$3.87
Record
93%
22393-1721 (24114)
Invested
$376.79
Value
—
PnL
-$376.79
Record
49%
4903-5064 (9967)
Invested
$265.11
Value
$288.18
PnL
+$23.07
Record
56%
13408-10714 (24122)
NIULAI4Invested
$231.23
Value
$276.53
PnL
+$45.31
Record
77%
9240-2696 (11936)
FairValueMachineInvested
$240.05
Value
$251.31
PnL
+$11.27
Record
56%
12142-9373 (21515)
Invested
$197.4
Value
—
PnL
-$197.4
Record
60%
11862-7780 (19642)
Invested
$171.14
Value
$210.64
PnL
+$39.5
Record
55%
23513-19032 (42545)
Invested
$135.29
Value
—
PnL
-$135.29
Record
57%
11675-8685 (20360)
Invested
$84.69
Value
$150.35
PnL
+$65.66
Record
55%
47865-39475 (87340)
Invested
$68.42
Value
$138
PnL
+$69.58
Record
55%
49928-40557 (90485)
Invested
$47.3
Value
$104.29
PnL
+$56.99
Record
56%
49132-39393 (88525)
Invested
$109.49
Value
—
PnL
-$109.49
Record
53%
26809-23884 (50693)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$95.19
Value
—
PnL
-$95.19
Record
55%
8312-6754 (15066)
Invested
$94.38
Value
$48.56
PnL
-$45.82
Record
66%
111247-57501 (168748)
Both legs:
Invested
$8.64
Value
—
PnL
-$8.64
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
Invested
$36.63
Value
—
PnL
-$36.63
Record
57%
10059-7541 (17600)
Invested
$95.71
Value
$50
PnL
-$42.71
Record
65%
21073-11552 (32625)
Invested
$16.85
Value
—
PnL
-$16.85
Record
66%
98425-50873 (149298)
Invested
$23.27
Value
—
PnL
-$23.27
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$18.48
Value
—
PnL
-$18.48
Record
55%
43850-36279 (80129)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
50%
7602-7622 (15224)
pspspsps5Invested
$10.1
Value
$165.05
PnL
+$154.96
Record
46%
37781-44261 (82042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Up — $890.53
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $583.67
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $392.02
hoodquant
Up — $382
ply-pm0
CTRDown — $0
GoodFallen
Up — $288.18
NIULAI4
Up — $276.53
FairValueMachine
Up — $251.31
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRDown — $0
sir-upalot
Up — $210.64