Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Down 65%
$2.9K
-$61.21
Smart Money Signal
19 of 28 top traders (68%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $629.26 | $642 | +$12.74 | 93% 22393-1721 (24114) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $570.51 | $576.27 | +$5.76 | 56% 29198-23025 (52223) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 93.7¢ | $352.05 | $375.82 | +$23.77 | 55% 8312-6754 (15066) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 87.4¢ | $356.97 | $350.02 | -$6.95 | 57% 7465-5727 (13192) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 88.2¢ | $233.32 | $227.83 | -$5.49 | 49% 4903-5064 (9967) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $131.05 | $164.96 | +$33.91 | 57% 11675-8685 (20360) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $98.94 | $98.33 | -$0.61 | 56% 12142-9373 (21515) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $71 | $89.48 | +$18.48 | 57% 10059-7541 (17600) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $85.48 | $73.52 | -$11.96 | 56% 13408-10714 (24122) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $72.21 | $68.98 | -$3.23 | 60% 11862-7780 (19642) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $58.8 | — | -$58.8 | 12% 17900-132721 (150621) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.9¢ | $50.72 | $58.37 | +$7.65 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $57.12 | $44 | -$13.13 | 55% 7072-5790 (12862) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $25.01 | $50.01 | +$25.01 | 58% 50713-36842 (87555) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $15.5 | $22 | +$6.5 | 55% 43850-36279 (80129) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $16.89 | $19.87 | +$2.98 | 62% 43532-26459 (69991) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.7¢ | $29.92 | $13 | -$1.71 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.3¢ | $16.19 | — | -$16.19 | 46% 37781-44261 (82042) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.4¢ | $16.88 | — | -$16.88 | 56% 49132-39393 (88525) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.5¢ | $24.18 | — | -$24.18 | 55% 49928-40557 (90485) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.4¢ | $21.79 | — | -$21.79 | 55% 47865-39475 (87340) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $4.99 | $6.41 | +$1.42 | 66% 111247-57501 (168748) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.1¢ | $12.19 | — | -$12.19 | 48% 22986-25028 (48014) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 77% 9240-2696 (11936) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
Invested
$629.26
Value
$642
PnL
+$12.74
Record
93%
22393-1721 (24114)
Invested
$570.51
Value
$576.27
PnL
+$5.76
Record
56%
29198-23025 (52223)
machinelearnedInvested
$352.05
Value
$375.82
PnL
+$23.77
Record
55%
8312-6754 (15066)
Invested
$356.97
Value
$350.02
PnL
-$6.95
Record
57%
7465-5727 (13192)
Invested
$233.32
Value
$227.83
PnL
-$5.49
Record
49%
4903-5064 (9967)
Invested
$131.05
Value
$164.96
PnL
+$33.91
Record
57%
11675-8685 (20360)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$98.94
Value
$98.33
PnL
-$0.61
Record
56%
12142-9373 (21515)
Invested
$71
Value
$89.48
PnL
+$18.48
Record
57%
10059-7541 (17600)
Invested
$85.48
Value
$73.52
PnL
-$11.96
Record
56%
13408-10714 (24122)
Invested
$72.21
Value
$68.98
PnL
-$3.23
Record
60%
11862-7780 (19642)
Invested
$58.8
Value
—
PnL
-$58.8
Record
12%
17900-132721 (150621)
Invested
$50.72
Value
$58.37
PnL
+$7.65
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
Invested
$57.12
Value
$44
PnL
-$13.13
Record
55%
7072-5790 (12862)
Invested
$25.01
Value
$50.01
PnL
+$25.01
Record
58%
50713-36842 (87555)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
$22
PnL
+$6.5
Record
55%
43850-36279 (80129)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$16.89
Value
$19.87
PnL
+$2.98
Record
62%
43532-26459 (69991)
Invested
$29.92
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.71
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$16.19
Value
—
PnL
-$16.19
Record
46%
37781-44261 (82042)
Invested
$16.88
Value
—
PnL
-$16.88
Record
56%
49132-39393 (88525)
Invested
$24.18
Value
—
PnL
-$24.18
Record
55%
49928-40557 (90485)
Invested
$21.79
Value
—
PnL
-$21.79
Record
55%
47865-39475 (87340)
Invested
$4.99
Value
$6.41
PnL
+$1.42
Record
66%
111247-57501 (168748)
Invested
$12.19
Value
—
PnL
-$12.19
Record
48%
22986-25028 (48014)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
77%
9240-2696 (11936)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $642
THG.
Down — $576.27
machinelearned
Down — $375.82
wzbbb
Down — $350.02
ply-pm0
Down — $227.83
EZTRADENL2
Down — $164.96
FairValueMachine
Down — $98.33
trdyugiolkw
Down — $89.48
GoodFallen
Down — $73.52
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $68.98