Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 74%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$11.1K

Combined PnL

-$801.38

Smart Money Signal

17 of 24 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up17 traders

Total Value$10.7K

Total Shares10,742

Combined PnL+$240.31

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,537

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$7.9K	$7.9K	+$7.95	59% 61872-42853 (104725)
0X 0x246bE8A4e3805E318801B79AD1Ee1268d5fbFB5b-1773192326048CTR	Downavg 31.6¢	$836.11	—	-$836.11	68% 235-109 (344)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$10.64	93% 22338-1719 (24057)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 97.2¢	$347.05	$357	+$9.95	55% 43796-36217 (80013)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 60.9¢	$275.83	$253	-$22.83	57% 7436-5708 (13144)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 70.2¢	$244.67	$243.16	-$1.51	54% 15136-12685 (27821)
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.2¢	$170.66	$243.16	+$72.5
└ Down leg	Downavg 28.2¢	$74.01	—	-$74.01
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 79.4¢	$186.59	$183.16	-$3.43	49% 4881-5050 (9931)
machinelearned	Upavg 72.5¢	$132.1	$140.11	+$8.01	55% 8297-6733 (15030)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 52.3¢	$154.08	—	-$154.08	58% 37338-26566 (63904)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 70.3¢	$96.07	$123.29	+$27.22	60% 11842-7764 (19606)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 80.9¢	$118.09	$104.72	-$13.38	55% 7052-5774 (12826)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 66.9¢	$135.49	$202.49	+$67	57% 11656-8669 (20325)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Upavg 69¢	$80.5	$82.35	+$1.85	56% 13389-10698 (24087)
└ Up leg	Upavg 69¢	$56.8	$82.35	+$25.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 26.3¢	$23.7	—	-$23.7
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 48.3¢	$65.36	$106	+$40.64	66% 98405-50847 (149252)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 43¢	$52.46	$122	+$69.54	12% 17890-132710 (150600)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$36.75	$33	-$3.75	52% 89030-83502 (172532)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$5.36	—	-$5.36	48% 22972-25014 (47986)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 49¢	$24.5	$50.01	+$25.51	58% 50695-36819 (87514)
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100	Downavg 57¢	$23.94	—	-$23.94	57% 10049-7530 (17579)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$13.72	$17.53	+$3.81	61% 93527-58804 (152331)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.1¢	$7.2	—	-$7.2	46% 37757-44204 (81961)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 63.2¢	$11.74	$18.56	+$6.82	66% 124118-63886 (188004)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 70¢	$11.94	$17.05	+$5.12	65% 20975-11511 (32486)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 70¢	$3.5	$5	+$1.5	65% 123835-66215 (190050)
VE Vega7CTR<$100	Downavg 0.7¢	$15	—	-$15	74% 2940-1018 (3958)

0x50f7

Invested

$7,937.3

Value

$7.9K

PnL

+$7.95

Record

59%

61872-42853 (104725)

0x246bE8A4e3805E318801B79AD1Ee1268d5fbFB5b-1773192326048CTR

Down

Invested

$836.11

Value

—

PnL

-$836.11

Record

68%

235-109 (344)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,053.35

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$10.64

Record

93%

22338-1719 (24057)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$347.05

Value

$357

PnL

+$9.95

Record

55%

43796-36217 (80013)

wzbbb

Invested

$275.83

Value

$253

PnL

-$22.83

Record

57%

7436-5708 (13144)

dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100

Invested

$244.67

Value

$243.16

PnL

-$1.51

Record

54%

15136-12685 (27821)

Both legs:

Up$170.6670.2¢+$72.5

Down$74.0128.2¢-$74.01

ply-pm0

Invested

$186.59

Value

$183.16

PnL

-$3.43

Record

49%

4881-5050 (9931)

machinelearned

Invested

$132.1

Value

$140.11

PnL

+$8.01

Record

55%

8297-6733 (15030)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$154.08

Value

—

PnL

-$154.08

Record

58%

37338-26566 (63904)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$96.07

Value

$123.29

PnL

+$27.22

Record

60%

11842-7764 (19606)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$118.09

Value

$104.72

PnL

-$13.38

Record

55%

7052-5774 (12826)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$135.49

Value

$202.49

PnL

+$67

Record

57%

11656-8669 (20325)

GoodFallenARB<$100

Invested

$80.5

Value

$82.35

PnL

+$1.85

Record

56%

13389-10698 (24087)

Both legs:

Up$56.869¢+$25.55

Down$23.726.3¢-$23.7

Bonereaper

Invested

$65.36

Value

$106

PnL

+$40.64

Record

66%

98405-50847 (149252)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$52.46

Value

$122

PnL

+$69.54

Record

12%

17890-132710 (150600)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$36.75

Value

$33

PnL

-$3.75

Record

52%

89030-83502 (172532)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$5.36

Value

—

PnL

-$5.36

Record

48%

22972-25014 (47986)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$24.5

Value

$50.01

PnL

+$25.51

Record

58%

50695-36819 (87514)

trdyugiolkwCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$23.94

Value

—

PnL

-$23.94

Record

57%

10049-7530 (17579)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$13.72

Value

$17.53

PnL

+$3.81

Record

61%

93527-58804 (152331)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.2

Value

—

PnL

-$7.2

Record

46%

37757-44204 (81961)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$11.74

Value

$18.56

PnL

+$6.82

Record

66%

124118-63886 (188004)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$11.94

Value

$17.05

PnL

+$5.12

Record

65%

20975-11511 (32486)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.5

Value

PnL

+$1.5

Record

65%

123835-66215 (190050)

Vega7CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15

Value

—

PnL

-$15

Record

74%

2940-1018 (3958)

Smart Money Signal

17 of 24 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa5db3e86...18e2e1

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793144700

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $7.9K

+$7.95

0x246bE8A4e3805E318801B79AD1Ee1268d5fbFB5b-1773192326048

CTR

Down — $0

-$836.11

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

+$10.64

MayorMamdani

Up — $357

+$9.95

wzbbb

Up — $253

-$22.83

dangerously-skip-permissions

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$1.51

ply-pm0

Up — $183.16

-$3.43

machinelearned

Up — $140.11

+$8.01

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$154.08

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $123.29

+$27.22

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