Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 80%
$8.1K
$54.47
Smart Money Signal
22 of 27 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | -$13.59 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 94.7¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | +$49.2 | 57% 7389-5686 (13075) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 62.1¢ | $300.91 | $320.42 | +$19.51 | 54% 15086-12638 (27724) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 81.7¢ | $327.16 | $398.76 | +$71.6 | 55% 8270-6709 (14979) |
AL almach | Upavg 99.9¢ | $392.82 | $324.07 | -$68.75 | 55% 47823-39403 (87226) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 81.9¢ | $496.36 | $312.42 | +$74.44 | 64% 57344-32114 (89458) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 85¢ | $254.97 | $299.97 | +$45 | 48% 22949-24961 (47910) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 61.9¢ | $163.27 | $169.02 | +$5.75 | 56% 13362-10674 (24036) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 51¢ | $112.8 | — | -$112.8 | 66% 98373-50815 (149188) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 76.5¢ | $94.02 | $122.92 | +$28.89 | 56% 12092-9338 (21430) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.5¢ | $37.7 | — | -$37.7 | 55% 49869-40477 (90346) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $84.42 | $88.02 | +$3.6 | 55% 7021-5754 (12775) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 73.2¢ | $98.12 | $79.01 | -$19.11 | 49% 4856-5023 (9879) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 92.2¢ | $74.54 | $61.78 | -$12.76 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $71.51 | $73.34 | +$1.84 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $62.25 | $75 | +$12.75 | 67% 53055-26486 (79541) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $54.92 | $62.75 | +$7.83 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $58.78 | $62.55 | +$3.77 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.9¢ | $52.75 | $60 | +$7.25 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $40.42 | $43 | +$2.58 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $28.31 | $34.41 | +$6.1 | 60% 11816-7738 (19554) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $22.53 | — | -$22.53 | 74% 101965-36273 (138238) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $28.8 | $40 | +$11.2 | 56% 57395-44340 (101735) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.5¢ | $5.61 | — | -$5.61 | 57% 11636-8639 (20275) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $3.99 | — | -$3.99 | 58% 59958-43771 (103729) |
Invested
$3,021.6
Value
$3.0K
PnL
-$13.59
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
Invested
$2,457.51
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$49.2
Record
57%
7389-5686 (13075)
Invested
$300.91
Value
$320.42
PnL
+$19.51
Record
54%
15086-12638 (27724)
machinelearnedInvested
$327.16
Value
$398.76
PnL
+$71.6
Record
55%
8270-6709 (14979)
Invested
$392.82
Value
$324.07
PnL
-$68.75
Record
55%
47823-39403 (87226)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$496.36
Value
$312.42
PnL
+$74.44
Record
64%
57344-32114 (89458)
Invested
$254.97
Value
$299.97
PnL
+$45
Record
48%
22949-24961 (47910)
Invested
$163.27
Value
$169.02
PnL
+$5.75
Record
56%
13362-10674 (24036)
Invested
$112.8
Value
—
PnL
-$112.8
Record
66%
98373-50815 (149188)
FairValueMachineInvested
$94.02
Value
$122.92
PnL
+$28.89
Record
56%
12092-9338 (21430)
Invested
$37.7
Value
—
PnL
-$37.7
Record
55%
49869-40477 (90346)
Invested
$84.42
Value
$88.02
PnL
+$3.6
Record
55%
7021-5754 (12775)
Invested
$98.12
Value
$79.01
PnL
-$19.11
Record
49%
4856-5023 (9879)
Invested
$74.54
Value
$61.78
PnL
-$12.76
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$71.51
Value
$73.34
PnL
+$1.84
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$62.25
Value
$75
PnL
+$12.75
Record
67%
53055-26486 (79541)
Invested
$54.92
Value
$62.75
PnL
+$7.83
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$58.78
Value
$62.55
PnL
+$3.77
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$52.75
Value
$60
PnL
+$7.25
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$40.42
Value
$43
PnL
+$2.58
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$28.31
Value
$34.41
PnL
+$6.1
Record
60%
11816-7738 (19554)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$22.53
Value
—
PnL
-$22.53
Record
74%
101965-36273 (138238)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$11.2
Record
56%
57395-44340 (101735)
Invested
$5.61
Value
—
PnL
-$5.61
Record
57%
11636-8639 (20275)
Invested
$3.99
Value
—
PnL
-$3.99
Record
58%
59958-43771 (103729)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.0K
wzbbb
Up — $2.5K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $320.42
machinelearned
Up — $398.76
almach
Up — $324.07
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $312.42
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $299.97
GoodFallen
Up — $169.02
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $122.92