Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 81%

Total Value

$10.2K

Combined PnL

$214.96

Smart Money Signal

22 of 27 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$10.2K

Total Shares10,202

Combined PnL+$408.47

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,106

Combined PnL-$193.5

Up — 81%Down — 19%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AR arcsine-barrister	Up	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$23.65	56% 3610-2800 (6410)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 92.2¢	$2.5K	$2.6K	+$166.26	57% 7389-5686 (13075)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 85.7¢	$399.91	$448.69	+$48.78	54% 10142-8602 (18744)
machinelearned	Upavg 84.8¢	$377.51	$425	+$47.49	55% 8270-6709 (14979)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 77¢	$264.59	$271.31	+$6.73	54% 15086-12638 (27724)
ST std0	Upavg 89.3¢	$219.04	$225	+$5.96	67% 53055-26486 (79541)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 82.7¢	$206.22	$202.33	-$3.89	49% 4856-5023 (9879)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 77.4¢	$139.97	$160	+$20.03	64% 57344-32114 (89458)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 76.6¢	$130.46	$165.62	+$35.16	60% 11816-7738 (19554)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 93¢	$93.27	$100.29	+$7.02	56% 57395-44340 (101735)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$81.4	$88	+$6.6	55% 7021-5754 (12775)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$80.89	—	-$80.89	66% 98373-50815 (149188)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 87.5¢	$81.52	$58.38	-$23.14	56% 13362-10674 (24036)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 85.6¢	$52.57	$59.48	+$6.91	65% 123715-66149 (189864)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 82.7¢	$82.8	$100.12	+$17.32	57% 69092-52584 (121676)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 82¢	$42.52	$41	-$1.52	55% 49869-40477 (90346)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 88¢	$37.43	$30.76	-$6.67	55% 47823-39403 (87226)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 88.5¢	$49.05	$38.57	+$6.21	65% 20812-11390 (32202)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 85.5¢	$34.57	$40.44	+$5.87	66% 123993-63821 (187814)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Downavg 22.5¢	$48.7	—	-$48.7	56% 12092-9338 (21430)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 81.4¢	$34.73	$42.66	+$7.93	46% 37715-44132 (81847)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 53¢	$34.98	$66	+$31.02	12% 17875-132699 (150574)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 93.7¢	$29.4	$30.16	+$0.76	61% 93423-58740 (152163)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 8¢	$48	—	-$48	48% 22949-24961 (47910)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$14.84	—	-$14.84	57% 11636-8639 (20275)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$4,961.66

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$23.65

Record

56%

3610-2800 (6410)

wzbbb

Invested

$2,480.74

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$166.26

Record

57%

7389-5686 (13075)

thesidehustle

Invested

$399.91

Value

$448.69

PnL

+$48.78

Record

54%

10142-8602 (18744)

machinelearned

Invested

$377.51

Value

$425

PnL

+$47.49

Record

55%

8270-6709 (14979)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$264.59

Value

$271.31

PnL

+$6.73

Record

54%

15086-12638 (27724)

std0

Invested

$219.04

Value

$225

PnL

+$5.96

Record

67%

53055-26486 (79541)

ply-pm0

Invested

$206.22

Value

$202.33

PnL

-$3.89

Record

49%

4856-5023 (9879)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$139.97

Value

$160

PnL

+$20.03

Record

64%

57344-32114 (89458)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$130.46

Value

$165.62

PnL

+$35.16

Record

60%

11816-7738 (19554)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$93.27

Value

$100.29

PnL

+$7.02

Record

56%

57395-44340 (101735)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$81.4

Value

$88

PnL

+$6.6

Record

55%

7021-5754 (12775)

BonereaperCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$80.89

Value

—

PnL

-$80.89

Record

66%

98373-50815 (149188)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$81.52

Value

$58.38

PnL

-$23.14

Record

56%

13362-10674 (24036)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$52.57

Value

$59.48

PnL

+$6.91

Record

65%

123715-66149 (189864)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$82.8

Value

$100.12

PnL

+$17.32

Record

57%

69092-52584 (121676)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$42.52

Value

$41

PnL

-$1.52

Record

55%

49869-40477 (90346)

almach<$100

Invested

$37.43

Value

$30.76

PnL

-$6.67

Record

55%

47823-39403 (87226)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$49.05

Value

$38.57

PnL

+$6.21

Record

65%

20812-11390 (32202)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$34.57

Value

$40.44

PnL

+$5.87

Record

66%

123993-63821 (187814)

FairValueMachineCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$48.7

Value

—

PnL

-$48.7

Record

56%

12092-9338 (21430)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$34.73

Value

$42.66

PnL

+$7.93

Record

46%

37715-44132 (81847)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$34.98

Value

$66

PnL

+$31.02

Record

12%

17875-132699 (150574)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$29.4

Value

$30.16

PnL

+$0.76

Record

61%

93423-58740 (152163)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$48

Value

—

PnL

-$48

Record

48%

22949-24961 (47910)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.84

Value

—

PnL

-$14.84

Record

57%

11636-8639 (20275)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 27 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc8932cd2...48ccb0

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793127300

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$23.65

wzbbb

Up — $2.6K

+$166.26

thesidehustle

Up — $448.69

+$48.78

machinelearned

Up — $425

+$47.49

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $271.31

+$6.73

std0

Up — $225

+$5.96

ply-pm0

Up — $202.33

-$3.89

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $160

+$20.03

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $165.62

+$35.16

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $100.29

+$7.02

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