Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 75%
$14.2K
-$581.69
Smart Money Signal
21 of 29 top traders (72%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.9K | $6.9K | +$6.9 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30.11 | 56% 29174-23025 (52199) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 93¢ | $855.38 | $771.43 | -$83.95 | 64% 57344-32114 (89458) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 90.6¢ | $582.3 | $451.11 | -$131.2 | 57% 7389-5686 (13075) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 68¢ | $401.59 | $424.11 | +$22.53 | 54% 15086-12638 (27724) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 98.1¢ | $447.64 | $407.05 | -$40.59 | 55% 49869-40477 (90346) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 92.4¢ | $410.1 | $360 | -$50.1 | 54% 10142-8602 (18744) |
AL almach | Downavg 98.1¢ | $435.44 | $324.81 | -$110.63 | 55% 47823-39403 (87226) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 67¢ | $306.17 | $456.93 | +$150.76 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $218.12 | $189 | -$29.12 | 49% 4856-5023 (9879) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 49.8¢ | $183.36 | — | -$183.36 | 66% 98373-50815 (149188) |
ST std0 | Downavg 97.9¢ | $162.16 | $161.27 | -$0.89 | 67% 53055-26486 (79541) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 86.3¢ | $133.79 | $137.5 | +$3.71 | 55% 7021-5754 (12775) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 98.9¢ | $105.82 | $107 | +$1.18 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 98.5¢ | $121.54 | $100 | -$21.54 | 55% 8270-6709 (14979) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 83.2¢ | $113.3 | $100 | -$13.3 | 57% 10019-7512 (17531) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.2¢ | $92.83 | — | -$92.83 | 56% 13362-10674 (24036) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $57.36 | $58 | +$0.64 | 93% 22269-1715 (23984) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $44.89 | $44.02 | -$0.87 | 60% 11816-7738 (19554) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $37.72 | $38.1 | +$0.38 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $38.4 | $48 | +$9.6 | 56% 12092-9338 (21430) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $22.44 | $26.45 | +$4.01 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $20.89 | $41.78 | +$20.89 | 58% 50666-36801 (87467) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.2¢ | $26.99 | — | -$26.99 | 57% 11636-8639 (20275) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3¢ | $32.35 | — | -$32.35 | 48% 22949-24961 (47910) |
Invested
$6,889.12
Value
$6.9K
PnL
+$6.9
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
Invested
$2,980.89
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30.11
Record
56%
29174-23025 (52199)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$855.38
Value
$771.43
PnL
-$83.95
Record
64%
57344-32114 (89458)
Invested
$582.3
Value
$451.11
PnL
-$131.2
Record
57%
7389-5686 (13075)
Invested
$401.59
Value
$424.11
PnL
+$22.53
Record
54%
15086-12638 (27724)
Invested
$447.64
Value
$407.05
PnL
-$40.59
Record
55%
49869-40477 (90346)
Invested
$410.1
Value
$360
PnL
-$50.1
Record
54%
10142-8602 (18744)
Invested
$435.44
Value
$324.81
PnL
-$110.63
Record
55%
47823-39403 (87226)
Invested
$306.17
Value
$456.93
PnL
+$150.76
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$218.12
Value
$189
PnL
-$29.12
Record
49%
4856-5023 (9879)
Invested
$183.36
Value
—
PnL
-$183.36
Record
66%
98373-50815 (149188)
Invested
$162.16
Value
$161.27
PnL
-$0.89
Record
67%
53055-26486 (79541)
Invested
$133.79
Value
$137.5
PnL
+$3.71
Record
55%
7021-5754 (12775)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$105.82
Value
$107
PnL
+$1.18
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
machinelearnedInvested
$121.54
Value
$100
PnL
-$21.54
Record
55%
8270-6709 (14979)
Invested
$113.3
Value
$100
PnL
-$13.3
Record
57%
10019-7512 (17531)
Invested
$92.83
Value
—
PnL
-$92.83
Record
56%
13362-10674 (24036)
Invested
$57.36
Value
$58
PnL
+$0.64
Record
93%
22269-1715 (23984)
Invested
$44.89
Value
$44.02
PnL
-$0.87
Record
60%
11816-7738 (19554)
Invested
$37.72
Value
$38.1
PnL
+$0.38
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$38.4
Value
$48
PnL
+$9.6
Record
56%
12092-9338 (21430)
Invested
$22.44
Value
$26.45
PnL
+$4.01
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$20.89
Value
$41.78
PnL
+$20.89
Record
58%
50666-36801 (87467)
Invested
$26.99
Value
—
PnL
-$26.99
Record
57%
11636-8639 (20275)
Invested
$32.35
Value
—
PnL
-$32.35
Record
48%
22949-24961 (47910)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.9K
THG.
Down — $3.0K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $771.43
wzbbb
Down — $451.11
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $424.11
mo-money
Down — $407.05
thesidehustle
Down — $360
almach
Down — $324.81
uninformedfloww
Down — $456.93
ply-pm0
Down — $189