Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 35%
$2.9K
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 29 top traders (38%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 94.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$9.98 | 57% 7389-5686 (13075) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 47.3¢ | $684.55 | — | -$684.55 | 54% 15086-12638 (27724) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $396 | $400 | +$4 | 93% 22269-1715 (23984) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $229.4 | $231.72 | +$2.32 | 74% 101965-36273 (138238) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 55.7¢ | $137.06 | $218.62 | +$81.56 | 56% 12092-9338 (21430) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 49.1¢ | $177.79 | $200.94 | +$23.15 | 56% 13362-10674 (24036) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 47.6¢ | $163.49 | — | -$163.49 | 58% 50666-36801 (87467) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $155.06 | $155.49 | +$0.43 | 49% 4856-5023 (9879) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 75¢ | $112.64 | $150.19 | +$37.55 | 62% 43491-26415 (69906) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.9¢ | $32.33 | — | -$32.33 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $49.97 | $68.07 | +$18.1 | 67% 53055-26486 (79541) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $39.38 | $53.62 | +$14.24 | 60% 11816-7738 (19554) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $74.24 | — | -$74.24 | 55% 7021-5754 (12775) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $32.5 | — | -$32.5 | 57% 11636-8639 (20275) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $17.54 | — | -$17.54 | 55% 49869-40477 (90346) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.6¢ | $40.01 | — | -$40.01 | 64% 57344-32114 (89458) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.4¢ | $37.91 | — | -$37.91 | 55% 8270-6709 (14979) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $43.59 | — | -$43.59 | 55% 47823-39403 (87226) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $25.2 | — | -$25.2 | 54% 10142-8602 (18744) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $58.75 | — | -$58.75 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 46% 37715-44132 (81847) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.8¢ | $14.26 | — | -$14.26 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 66% 98373-50815 (149188) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
Invested
$1,460.01
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$9.98
Record
57%
7389-5686 (13075)
Invested
$684.55
Value
—
PnL
-$684.55
Record
54%
15086-12638 (27724)
Invested
$396
Value
$400
PnL
+$4
Record
93%
22269-1715 (23984)
BoneOhioInvested
$229.4
Value
$231.72
PnL
+$2.32
Record
74%
101965-36273 (138238)
FairValueMachineInvested
$137.06
Value
$218.62
PnL
+$81.56
Record
56%
12092-9338 (21430)
Invested
$177.79
Value
$200.94
PnL
+$23.15
Record
56%
13362-10674 (24036)
Invested
$163.49
Value
—
PnL
-$163.49
Record
58%
50666-36801 (87467)
Invested
$155.06
Value
$155.49
PnL
+$0.43
Record
49%
4856-5023 (9879)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$112.64
Value
$150.19
PnL
+$37.55
Record
62%
43491-26415 (69906)
Invested
$32.33
Value
—
PnL
-$32.33
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
Invested
$49.97
Value
$68.07
PnL
+$18.1
Record
67%
53055-26486 (79541)
Invested
$39.38
Value
$53.62
PnL
+$14.24
Record
60%
11816-7738 (19554)
Invested
$74.24
Value
—
PnL
-$74.24
Record
55%
7021-5754 (12775)
Invested
$32.5
Value
—
PnL
-$32.5
Record
57%
11636-8639 (20275)
Invested
$17.54
Value
—
PnL
-$17.54
Record
55%
49869-40477 (90346)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$40.01
Value
—
PnL
-$40.01
Record
64%
57344-32114 (89458)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$37.91
Value
—
PnL
-$37.91
Record
55%
8270-6709 (14979)
Invested
$43.59
Value
—
PnL
-$43.59
Record
55%
47823-39403 (87226)
Invested
$25.2
Value
—
PnL
-$25.2
Record
54%
10142-8602 (18744)
Invested
$58.75
Value
—
PnL
-$58.75
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
46%
37715-44132 (81847)
Invested
$14.26
Value
—
PnL
-$14.26
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
66%
98373-50815 (149188)
Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $1.5K
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $400
BoneOhio
Down — $231.72
FairValueMachine
Down — $218.62
GoodFallen
Down — $200.94
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
Down — $155.49
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $150.19
0x50f7
CTRUp — $0