Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 68%
$4.0K
$329.77
Smart Money Signal
17 of 26 top traders (65%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 87.8¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$13.85 | 56% 7359-5668 (13027) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 72.4¢ | $475.5 | $650 | +$174.5 | 55% 8253-6690 (14943) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 87.1¢ | $422.59 | $485.29 | +$62.71 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
WI Wintermute-Sport | Upavg 50.9¢ | $314.96 | $618.18 | +$303.22 | 59% 75-53 (128) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $206.15 | $208.23 | +$2.08 | 56% 29164-23025 (52189) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $169.67 | $190 | +$20.33 | 49% 4841-5002 (9843) |
ST std0 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $144.37 | $166.52 | +$22.16 | 67% 53042-26468 (79510) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Downavg 49.7¢ | $149.19 | — | -$149.19 | 58% 50649-36785 (87434) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $98.4 | $94.52 | -$3.88 | 56% 13344-10656 (24000) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97.7¢ | $93.77 | $96 | +$2.23 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
RO Rock.San<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $88.49 | $88.58 | +$0.09 | 89% 11865-1412 (13277) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.2¢ | $86.59 | — | -$57.19 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $37.2 | $60 | +$22.8 | 57% 9998-7502 (17500) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $52.43 | $59.91 | +$7.48 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $43.03 | $45 | +$1.97 | 56% 12074-9320 (21394) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 66.2¢ | $43.59 | $65.87 | +$22.28 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $36.76 | — | -$36.76 | 60% 11798-7720 (19518) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $25.76 | $33.76 | +$8 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $23.26 | — | -$23.26 | 55% 6998-5742 (12740) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.8¢ | $9.07 | — | -$9.07 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 41.8¢ | $8.95 | $16.28 | +$7.33 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $9.56 | $11 | +$1.44 | 51% 16882-16482 (33364) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.2¢ | $8.11 | — | -$8.11 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $14.04 | — | -$14.04 | 56% 57363-44319 (101682) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $33.85 | — | -$13.48 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
Invested
$1,076.65
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$13.85
Record
56%
7359-5668 (13027)
machinelearnedInvested
$475.5
Value
$650
PnL
+$174.5
Record
55%
8253-6690 (14943)
Invested
$422.59
Value
$485.29
PnL
+$62.71
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$314.96
Value
$618.18
PnL
+$303.22
Record
59%
75-53 (128)
Invested
$206.15
Value
$208.23
PnL
+$2.08
Record
56%
29164-23025 (52189)
Invested
$169.67
Value
$190
PnL
+$20.33
Record
49%
4841-5002 (9843)
Invested
$144.37
Value
$166.52
PnL
+$22.16
Record
67%
53042-26468 (79510)
Invested
$149.19
Value
—
PnL
-$149.19
Record
58%
50649-36785 (87434)
Invested
$98.4
Value
$94.52
PnL
-$3.88
Record
56%
13344-10656 (24000)
Invested
$93.77
Value
$96
PnL
+$2.23
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Invested
$88.49
Value
$88.58
PnL
+$0.09
Record
89%
11865-1412 (13277)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$86.59
Value
—
PnL
-$57.19
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
Invested
$37.2
Value
$60
PnL
+$22.8
Record
57%
9998-7502 (17500)
Invested
$52.43
Value
$59.91
PnL
+$7.48
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$43.03
Value
$45
PnL
+$1.97
Record
56%
12074-9320 (21394)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$43.59
Value
$65.87
PnL
+$22.28
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$36.76
Value
—
PnL
-$36.76
Record
60%
11798-7720 (19518)
Invested
$25.76
Value
$33.76
PnL
+$8
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$23.26
Value
—
PnL
-$23.26
Record
55%
6998-5742 (12740)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.07
Value
—
PnL
-$9.07
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
Invested
$8.95
Value
$16.28
PnL
+$7.33
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$9.56
Value
$11
PnL
+$1.44
Record
51%
16882-16482 (33364)
Invested
$8.11
Value
—
PnL
-$8.11
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$14.04
Value
—
PnL
-$14.04
Record
56%
57363-44319 (101682)
Invested
$33.85
Value
—
PnL
-$13.48
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
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