PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

18

Up 88%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.3K

Combined PnL

$499.32

Smart Money Signal

Up

16 of 18 top traders (89%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up16 traders
Total Value$4.9K
Total Shares4,907
Combined PnL+$511.49
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$12.17
Up — 89%Down — 11%
WZ
wzbbb
Up

Invested

$2,798.45

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$97.55

Record

56%

7359-5668 (13027)

UN
uninformedfloww
Up

Invested

$721.85

Value

$960.65

PnL

+$238.8

Record

57%

68891-52429 (121320)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100
Up

Invested

$329.67

Value

$267.59

PnL

-$62.09

Record

64%

57269-32043 (89312)

Both legs:

Up$175.4765.6¢+$92.11
Down$154.237.8¢-$154.2
GO
GoodFallen
Up

Invested

$224.81

Value

$239.93

PnL

+$15.12

Record

56%

13344-10656 (24000)

machinelearned
Up

Invested

$179.67

Value

$224.93

PnL

+$45.27

Record

55%

8253-6690 (14943)

PL
ply-pm0
Up

Invested

$160.76

Value

$157.71

PnL

-$3.04

Record

49%

4841-5002 (9843)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100
Up

Invested

$83.4

Value

$115.01

PnL

+$31.61

Record

55%

6998-5742 (12740)

Both legs:

Up$5749.6¢+$58.01
Down$26.430¢-$26.4
FairValueMachine<$100
Up

Invested

$61.25

Value

$90.56

PnL

+$29.31

Record

56%

12074-9320 (21394)

ST
std0<$100
Up

Invested

$47.58

Value

$45

PnL

-$2.58

Record

67%

53042-26468 (79510)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$36.87

Value

$52.16

PnL

+$15.29

Record

66%

123902-63779 (187681)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$43.15

Value

$50.14

PnL

+$6.98

Record

61%

93357-58685 (152042)

EZ
EZTRADENL2<$100
Up

Invested

$38.06

Value

$75.98

PnL

+$37.92

Record

57%

11614-8625 (20239)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$36.1

Value

$59.64

PnL

+$23.54

Record

65%

123648-66111 (189759)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$13.8

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.2

Record

51%

19610-18785 (38395)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$11.97

Value

$21

PnL

+$9.03

Record

55%

43651-36077 (79728)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$14.3

Value

$10

PnL

-$4.3

Record

52%

88881-83328 (172209)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.23

Value

—

PnL

-$9.23

Record

60%

11798-7720 (19518)

Atomforge<$100
Up

Invested

$6.79

Value

$8.18

PnL

+$1.39

Record

65%

3812-2058 (5870)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.94

Value

—

PnL

-$2.94

Record

65%

20711-11321 (32032)

AR
arcsine-barrister<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3604-2795 (6399)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xfd6d109e...a016aa
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793117700

Traders in this Market

WZ

wzbbb

Up — $2.9K

+$97.55
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $960.65

+$238.8

Polkadot-Frog

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$62.09
GO

GoodFallen

Up — $239.93

+$15.12

machinelearned

Up — $224.93

+$45.27
PL

ply-pm0

Up — $157.71

-$3.04
0X

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$31.61

FairValueMachine

Up — $90.56

+$29.31
ST

std0

Up — $45

-$2.58
AS

asdaefef

Up — $52.16

+$15.29
Trade on Polymarket