Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 83%
$15.4K
$255.82
Smart Money Signal
20 of 24 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barrister | Downavg 90¢ | $4.5K | $5.0K | +$127.29 | 56% 3604-2795 (6399) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30.08 | 59% 61804-42751 (104555) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 93.1¢ | $2.3K | $2.4K | +$39.84 | 56% 7359-5668 (13027) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$22.28 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $595.19 | $601.2 | +$6.01 | 74% 101942-36261 (138203) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 80.2¢ | $524.09 | $507.8 | -$16.29 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 99¢ | $259.97 | $262.6 | +$2.63 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
PB PBot-6 | Downavg 52¢ | $207.68 | $399.38 | +$191.7 | 58% 50649-36785 (87434) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 62¢ | $140.73 | $215.49 | +$74.76 | 57% 11614-8625 (20239) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 86.5¢ | $110.31 | $113.88 | +$3.57 | 55% 8253-6690 (14943) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 25.4¢ | $136.7 | — | -$136.7 | 56% 13344-10656 (24000) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 99¢ | $109.89 | $111 | +$1.11 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 78.8¢ | $110.48 | $118.18 | +$7.7 | 60% 11798-7720 (19518) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 80¢ | $112.46 | $95.5 | -$16.96 | 49% 4841-5002 (9843) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $78.88 | $78.13 | -$0.75 | 56% 12074-9320 (21394) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $80.34 | $74 | -$6.34 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 96.1¢ | $65.17 | $62.52 | -$2.66 | 55% 6998-5742 (12740) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $42.3 | $51.81 | +$9.51 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $54 | $60 | +$6 | 57% 9998-7502 (17500) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.6¢ | $37.1 | — | -$37.1 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $43.67 | $38 | -$5.6 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $43.22 | — | -$39.37 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $12 | — | -$3.9 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $10.99 | $10 | -$0.99 | 55% 23495-19017 (42512) |
Invested
$4,500
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$127.29
Record
56%
3604-2795 (6399)
Invested
$2,977.93
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30.08
Record
59%
61804-42751 (104555)
Invested
$2,326.16
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$39.84
Record
56%
7359-5668 (13027)
Invested
$2,205.85
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$22.28
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
BoneOhioInvested
$595.19
Value
$601.2
PnL
+$6.01
Record
74%
101942-36261 (138203)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$524.09
Value
$507.8
PnL
-$16.29
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
pspspsps5Invested
$259.97
Value
$262.6
PnL
+$2.63
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
Invested
$207.68
Value
$399.38
PnL
+$191.7
Record
58%
50649-36785 (87434)
Invested
$140.73
Value
$215.49
PnL
+$74.76
Record
57%
11614-8625 (20239)
machinelearnedInvested
$110.31
Value
$113.88
PnL
+$3.57
Record
55%
8253-6690 (14943)
Invested
$136.7
Value
—
PnL
-$136.7
Record
56%
13344-10656 (24000)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$109.89
Value
$111
PnL
+$1.11
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$110.48
Value
$118.18
PnL
+$7.7
Record
60%
11798-7720 (19518)
Invested
$112.46
Value
$95.5
PnL
-$16.96
Record
49%
4841-5002 (9843)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$78.88
Value
$78.13
PnL
-$0.75
Record
56%
12074-9320 (21394)
Invested
$80.34
Value
$74
PnL
-$6.34
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$65.17
Value
$62.52
PnL
-$2.66
Record
55%
6998-5742 (12740)
Invested
$42.3
Value
$51.81
PnL
+$9.51
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$54
Value
$60
PnL
+$6
Record
57%
9998-7502 (17500)
Invested
$37.1
Value
—
PnL
-$37.1
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$43.67
Value
$38
PnL
-$5.6
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$43.22
Value
—
PnL
-$39.37
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
Invested
$10.99
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.99
Record
55%
23495-19017 (42512)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
Down — $5.0K
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
wzbbb
Down — $2.4K
hoodquant
Down — $2.2K
BoneOhio
Down — $601.2
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $507.8
pspspsps5
Down — $262.6
PBot-6
Down — $399.38
EZTRADENL2
Down — $215.49
machinelearned
Down — $113.88