Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 67%
$4.8K
-$23.75
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.07 | 59% 61779-42723 (104502) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 89.8¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$24.91 | 56% 7329-5651 (12980) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 83.3¢ | $171.49 | $160.52 | -$10.97 | 55% 8232-6675 (14907) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $72.99 | $99.99 | +$27 | 51% 16866-16478 (33344) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 70.9¢ | $66.58 | $74 | +$7.42 | 56% 13324-10646 (23970) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $53.4 | $60 | +$6.6 | 57% 9977-7486 (17463) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.3¢ | $45.21 | $50.64 | +$5.43 | 66% 123808-63743 (187551) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $48.25 | $48.1 | -$0.16 | 60% 11776-7707 (19483) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $33.21 | $34.78 | +$1.57 | 53% 26694-23808 (50502) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $30.76 | $34.51 | +$3.75 | 61% 93280-58641 (151921) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $21 | $30 | +$9 | 56% 12053-9310 (21363) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $22.98 | $22 | -$0.98 | 52% 88816-83270 (172086) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $22.2 | $18.59 | -$3.61 | 49% 4819-4988 (9807) |
ST std0CTR<$100 | Upavg 23.4¢ | $15.06 | — | -$15.06 | 67% 53025-26450 (79475) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $18.56 | — | -$18.51 | 55% 6980-5725 (12705) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.5¢ | $13.8 | — | -$13.8 | 46% 37670-44030 (81700) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.8¢ | $37.66 | — | -$37.66 | 57% 11593-8612 (20205) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $6.23 | $7.31 | +$1.08 | 55% 23476-19005 (42481) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.5¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 55% 17077-13720 (30797) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $3.53 | — | -$3.53 | 48% 22912-24914 (47826) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 51% 19576-18764 (38340) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3603-2794 (6397) |
Invested
$3,004.94
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.07
Record
59%
61779-42723 (104502)
Invested
$1,081.64
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$24.91
Record
56%
7329-5651 (12980)
machinelearnedInvested
$171.49
Value
$160.52
PnL
-$10.97
Record
55%
8232-6675 (14907)
Invested
$72.99
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$27
Record
51%
16866-16478 (33344)
Invested
$66.58
Value
$74
PnL
+$7.42
Record
56%
13324-10646 (23970)
Invested
$53.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.6
Record
57%
9977-7486 (17463)
Invested
$45.21
Value
$50.64
PnL
+$5.43
Record
66%
123808-63743 (187551)
Invested
$48.25
Value
$48.1
PnL
-$0.16
Record
60%
11776-7707 (19483)
Invested
$33.21
Value
$34.78
PnL
+$1.57
Record
53%
26694-23808 (50502)
Invested
$30.76
Value
$34.51
PnL
+$3.75
Record
61%
93280-58641 (151921)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$21
Value
$30
PnL
+$9
Record
56%
12053-9310 (21363)
Invested
$22.98
Value
$22
PnL
-$0.98
Record
52%
88816-83270 (172086)
Invested
$22.2
Value
$18.59
PnL
-$3.61
Record
49%
4819-4988 (9807)
Invested
$15.06
Value
—
PnL
-$15.06
Record
67%
53025-26450 (79475)
Invested
$18.56
Value
—
PnL
-$18.51
Record
55%
6980-5725 (12705)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
—
PnL
-$13.8
Record
46%
37670-44030 (81700)
Invested
$37.66
Value
—
PnL
-$37.66
Record
57%
11593-8612 (20205)
Invested
$6.23
Value
$7.31
PnL
+$1.08
Record
55%
23476-19005 (42481)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
55%
17077-13720 (30797)
Invested
$3.53
Value
—
PnL
-$3.53
Record
48%
22912-24914 (47826)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
51%
19576-18764 (38340)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3603-2794 (6397)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
wzbbb
Down — $1.1K
machinelearned
Down — $160.52
gansinimen
Down — $99.99
GoodFallen
Down — $74
trdyugiolkw
Down — $60
asdaefef
Down — $50.64
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $48.1
spartacray
Down — $34.78
asidjasiodja
Down — $34.51