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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

26

Down 76%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$8.5K

Combined PnL

-$212.46

Smart Money Signal

Down

19 of 26 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down19 traders
Total Value$8.2K
Total Shares8,245
Combined PnL+$227.19
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,285
Combined PnL-$439.65
Down — 73%Up — 27%
0X
0x50f7
Down

Invested

$5,715.28

Value

$5.7K

PnL

+$5.72

Record

59%

61779-42723 (104502)

WZ
wzbbb
Down

Invested

$1,186.55

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$27.82

Record

56%

7329-5651 (12980)

GO
GoodFallen
Down

Invested

$317.89

Value

$325.51

PnL

+$7.62

Record

56%

13324-10646 (23970)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100
Down

Invested

$218.09

Value

$197.39

PnL

-$20.7

Record

60%

11776-7707 (19483)

Both legs:

Down$123.7562.7¢+$73.63
Up$94.3442.2¢-$94.34
machinelearned
Down

Invested

$127.83

Value

$143.93

PnL

+$16.1

Record

55%

8232-6675 (14907)

ST
std0
Down

Invested

$95.66

Value

$107.42

PnL

+$11.76

Record

67%

53025-26450 (79475)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down

Invested

$78.84

Value

$110.84

PnL

+$32

Record

55%

6980-5725 (12705)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$92.02

Value

—

PnL

-$92.02

Record

58%

50624-36766 (87390)

EZ
EZTRADENL2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$138.33

Value

$66.51

PnL

-$71.83

Record

57%

11593-8612 (20205)

Both legs:

Down$38.1257.3¢+$28.38
Up$100.2151.1¢-$100.21
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$94.45

Value

—

PnL

-$94.45

Record

48%

22912-24914 (47826)

SI
sir-upalot
Down

Invested

$72.03

Value

$112.72

PnL

+$40.69

Record

55%

23476-19005 (42481)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR
Up

Invested

$150.44

Value

—

PnL

-$150.44

Record

55%

17077-13720 (30797)

PL
ply-pm0CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$63.53

Value

—

PnL

-$63.53

Record

49%

4819-4988 (9807)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down

Invested

$84.24

Value

$100.29

PnL

+$16.05

Record

56%

57338-44297 (101635)

FairValueMachine<$100
Down

Invested

$51.36

Value

$84.53

PnL

+$33.17

Record

56%

12053-9310 (21363)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$56.43

Value

$57

PnL

+$0.57

Record

93%

22150-1708 (23858)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$52.12

Value

$56.22

PnL

+$4.1

Record

66%

123808-63743 (187551)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$42.87

Value

$32.2

PnL

-$7.04

Record

61%

93280-58641 (151921)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$26.44

Value

$25.18

PnL

-$1.26

Record

52%

88816-83270 (172086)

SE
seeeeeeb<$100
Down

Invested

$27.99

Value

$37.32

PnL

+$9.33

Record

49%

615-628 (1243)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$25.89

Value

$35.11

PnL

+$9.22

Record

65%

20619-11265 (31884)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$29.83

Value

$35.09

PnL

+$5.26

Record

62%

43457-26365 (69822)

GA
gansinimen<$100
Down

Invested

$12.17

Value

$15.6

PnL

+$3.43

Record

51%

16866-16478 (33344)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$12.72

Value

$24.65

PnL

+$11.93

Record

65%

123573-66074 (189647)

SP
spartacrayCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$36.51

Value

—

PnL

-$36.51

Record

53%

26694-23808 (50502)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2d7497c1...1438fc
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793106000

Traders in this Market

0X

0x50f7

Down — $5.7K

+$5.72
WZ

wzbbb

Down — $1.2K

+$27.82
GO

GoodFallen

Down — $325.51

+$7.62
RE

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$20.7

machinelearned

Down — $143.93

+$16.1
ST

std0

Down — $107.42

+$11.76
0X

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $110.84

+$32
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Up — $0

-$92.02
EZ

EZTRADENL2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$71.83
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Up — $0

-$94.45
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