Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 34%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.8K

Combined PnL

$-3.6K

Smart Money Signal

11 of 33 top traders (33%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed22 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$4.2K

Total Shares4,208

Combined PnL+$467.87

Down22 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,770

Combined PnL$-4.1K

Up — 33%Down — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 70.5¢	$1.5K	$1.8K	+$243.64	56% 7307-5633 (12940)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$15.01	74% 101896-36253 (138149)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR	Downavg 46.6¢	$895.13	—	-$895.13	54% 15053-12616 (27669)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 44.5¢	$1.0K	—	$-1.0K	56% 13881-10867 (24748)
GO GoodFallenCTR	Downavg 42¢	$443.41	—	-$443.41	56% 13302-10639 (23941)
PL ply-pm0CTR	Downavg 47¢	$273.52	—	-$273.52	49% 4805-4972 (9777)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR	Downavg 44.3¢	$281.76	—	-$280.11	55% 6959-5716 (12675)
GA gansinimenARB<$100	Downavg 72¢	$201.54	$199.99	-$1.56	51% 16862-16473 (33335)
└ Down leg	Downavg 72¢	$144	—	-$144
└ Up leg	Upavg 28.8¢	$57.55	$199.99	+$142.44
ST std0CTR	Downavg 50.3¢	$162.66	—	-$162.66	67% 53006-26439 (79445)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 47¢	$177.97	$378.78	+$200.81	58% 37186-26392 (63578)
machinelearnedCTR	Downavg 32.5¢	$147.84	—	-$147.84	55% 8214-6663 (14877)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Downavg 70¢	$209.97	—	-$209.97	48% 22898-24907 (47805)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 43.3¢	$102.65	$152.58	+$49.93	60% 11758-7695 (19453)
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Downavg 44.4¢	$228.33	$113.82	-$114.51	56% 12044-9290 (21334)
└ Up leg	Upavg 47.4¢	$53.9	$113.82	+$59.92
└ Down leg	Downavg 44.4¢	$174.43	—	-$174.43
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 77.2¢	$108.4	$134.53	+$26.13	68% 98383-46651 (145034)
└ Down leg	Downavg 77.2¢	$89.31	—	-$89.31
└ Up leg	Upavg 14.2¢	$19.09	$134.53	+$115.43
SI sir-upalot	Upavg 56¢	$134.2	$124.7	-$9.5	55% 23457-18996 (42453)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR	Downavg 81¢	$121.73	—	-$121.73	62% 43450-26355 (69805)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 28¢	$32.94	—	-$32.94	54% 10045-8522 (18567)
PB PBot-6CTR	Downavg 46.3¢	$105.44	—	-$105.44	58% 50611-36747 (87358)
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 47¢	$110.94	$132	+$21.05	57% 11583-8602 (20185)
└ Up leg	Upavg 47¢	$62.04	$132	+$69.96
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.1¢	$48.9	—	-$48.9
AS asdaefef	Upavg 86.3¢	$147.89	$108.12	-$39.77	66% 123735-63707 (187442)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 38.6¢	$51.06	—	-$51.06	66% 111116-57341 (168457)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 74.6¢	$92.4	—	-$92.4	55% 43553-35965 (79518)
AS asidjasiodja	Upavg 99¢	$108.58	$73	-$25.04	61% 93231-58595 (151826)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 76.7¢	$66.95	—	-$66.95	55% 17023-13675 (30698)

wzbbb

Invested

$1,527.79

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$243.64

Record

56%

7307-5633 (12940)

BoneOhio

Invested

$1,486.45

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$15.01

Record

74%

101896-36253 (138149)

dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR

Down

Invested

$895.13

Value

—

PnL

-$895.13

Record

54%

15053-12616 (27669)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$1,024.14

Value

—

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

56%

13881-10867 (24748)

GoodFallenCTR

Down

Invested

$443.41

Value

—

PnL

-$443.41

Record

56%

13302-10639 (23941)

ply-pm0CTR

Down

Invested

$273.52

Value

—

PnL

-$273.52

Record

49%

4805-4972 (9777)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR

Down

Invested

$281.76

Value

—

PnL

-$280.11

Record

55%

6959-5716 (12675)

gansinimenARB<$100

Down

Invested

$201.54

Value

$199.99

PnL

-$1.56

Record

51%

16862-16473 (33335)

Both legs:

Down$14472¢-$144

Up$57.5528.8¢+$142.44

std0CTR

Down

Invested

$162.66

Value

—

PnL

-$162.66

Record

67%

53006-26439 (79445)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$177.97

Value

$378.78

PnL

+$200.81

Record

58%

37186-26392 (63578)

machinelearnedCTR

Down

Invested

$147.84

Value

—

PnL

-$147.84

Record

55%

8214-6663 (14877)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR

Down

Invested

$209.97

Value

—

PnL

-$209.97

Record

48%

22898-24907 (47805)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$102.65

Value

$152.58

PnL

+$49.93

Record

60%

11758-7695 (19453)

FairValueMachineARB<$100

Down

Invested

$228.33

Value

$113.82

PnL

-$114.51

Record

56%

12044-9290 (21334)

Both legs:

Up$53.947.4¢+$59.92

Down$174.4344.4¢-$174.43

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$108.4

Value

$134.53

PnL

+$26.13

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

Both legs:

Down$89.3177.2¢-$89.31

Up$19.0914.2¢+$115.43

sir-upalot

Invested

$134.2

Value

$124.7

PnL

-$9.5

Record

55%

23457-18996 (42453)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR

Down

Invested

$121.73

Value

—

PnL

-$121.73

Record

62%

43450-26355 (69805)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$32.94

Value

—

PnL

-$32.94

Record

54%

10045-8522 (18567)

PBot-6CTR

Down

Invested

$105.44

Value

—

PnL

-$105.44

Record

58%

50611-36747 (87358)

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Invested

$110.94

Value

$132

PnL

+$21.05

Record

57%

11583-8602 (20185)

Both legs:

Up$62.0447¢+$69.96

Down$48.951.1¢-$48.9

asdaefef

Invested

$147.89

Value

$108.12

PnL

-$39.77

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$51.06

Value

—

PnL

-$51.06

Record

66%

111116-57341 (168457)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$92.4

Value

—

PnL

-$92.4

Record

55%

43553-35965 (79518)

asidjasiodja

Invested

$108.58

Value

$73

PnL

-$25.04

Record

61%

93231-58595 (151826)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$66.95

Value

—

PnL

-$66.95

Record

55%

17023-13675 (30698)

Smart Money Signal

11 of 33 top traders (33%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed22 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x7aa7d527...60f59b

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793092500

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Up — $1.8K

+$243.64

BoneOhio

Up — $1.5K

+$15.01

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $0

CrouchPredictions

Down — $0

GoodFallen

Down — $0

ply-pm0

Down — $0

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $0

gansinimen

Arbitrage — excluded

std0

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $378.78

+$200.81

Trade on Polymarket