Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 93%

Total Value

$5.2K

Combined PnL

$68.43

Smart Money Signal

Down

26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down26 traders

Total Value$5.2K

Total Shares5,181

Combined PnL+$95.23

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares83

Combined PnL-$26.8

Down — 90%Up — 10%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 97.1¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	-$30.34	56% 7307-5633 (12940)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 92.4¢	$845.6	$868.76	+$23.16	56% 13881-10867 (24748)
machinelearned	Downavg 93.3¢	$430.08	$450	+$19.92	55% 8214-6663 (14877)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 94.4¢	$283.26	$300	+$16.74	48% 22898-24907 (47805)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 89.9¢	$255.38	$260.46	+$5.08	54% 10045-8522 (18567)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 78.2¢	$207.78	$205.27	-$2.5	54% 15053-12616 (27669)
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324	Downavg 93¢	$186	$200	+$14	51% 863-837 (1700)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 89.1¢	$163.35	$166.44	+$3.09	49% 4805-4972 (9777)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 95.6¢	$163.27	$156.54	-$6.73	68% 98383-46651 (145034)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 84.9¢	$146.68	$158.19	+$11.52	60% 11758-7695 (19453)
DV dvasdkasodk	Downavg 96.9¢	$140.26	$138.9	-$1.36	52% 88772-83208 (171980)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 82.6¢	$84.52	$100.42	+$15.9	56% 13302-10639 (23941)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 90.2¢	$64.34	$71.32	+$6.98	58% 59897-43723 (103620)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 92¢	$72.7	$62.5	-$9.95	55% 6959-5716 (12675)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 85.6¢	$62.94	$69.88	+$6.94	55% 17023-13675 (30698)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 89.2¢	$54.68	$61.33	+$6.65	66% 123735-63707 (187442)
ST std0<$100	Downavg 95¢	$60.1	$55	-$5.1	67% 53006-26439 (79445)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Downavg 88¢	$44	$50	+$6	55% 23457-18996 (42453)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Downavg 72.7¢	$40.1	$49	+$8.9	57% 11583-8602 (20185)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 94¢	$45.12	$48	+$2.88	55% 43553-35965 (79518)
Atomforge<$100	Downavg 93¢	$36.26	$38.99	+$2.73	65% 3780-2049 (5829)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 94.7¢	$26.63	$28.13	+$1.5	61% 93231-58595 (151826)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 47.9¢	$25.6	—	-$25.6	58% 50611-36747 (87358)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 95¢	$20	$16.72	-$3.28	65% 20534-11219 (31753)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 93¢	$8.5	$9.14	+$0.64	65% 123512-66036 (189548)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$1,634.96

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$30.34

Record

56%

7307-5633 (12940)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$845.6

Value

$868.76

PnL

+$23.16

Record

56%

13881-10867 (24748)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$430.08

Value

$450

PnL

+$19.92

Record

55%

8214-6663 (14877)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down

Invested

$283.26

Value

$300

PnL

+$16.74

Record

48%

22898-24907 (47805)

thesidehustle

Down

Invested

$255.38

Value

$260.46

PnL

+$5.08

Record

54%

10045-8522 (18567)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$207.78

Value

$205.27

PnL

-$2.5

Record

54%

15053-12616 (27669)

0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324

Down

Invested

$186

Value

$200

PnL

+$14

Record

51%

863-837 (1700)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$163.35

Value

$166.44

PnL

+$3.09

Record

49%

4805-4972 (9777)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down

Invested

$163.27

Value

$156.54

PnL

-$6.73

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$146.68

Value

$158.19

PnL

+$11.52

Record

60%

11758-7695 (19453)

dvasdkasodk

Down

Invested

$140.26

Value

$138.9

PnL

-$1.36

Record

52%

88772-83208 (171980)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$84.52

Value

$100.42

PnL

+$15.9

Record

56%

13302-10639 (23941)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$64.34

Value

$71.32

PnL

+$6.98

Record

58%

59897-43723 (103620)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$72.7

Value

$62.5

PnL

-$9.95

Record

55%

6959-5716 (12675)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Down

Invested

$62.94

Value

$69.88

PnL

+$6.94

Record

55%

17023-13675 (30698)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$54.68

Value

$61.33

PnL

+$6.65

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

std0<$100

Down

Invested

$60.1

Value

$55

PnL

-$5.1

Record

67%

53006-26439 (79445)

sir-upalot<$100

Down

Invested

$44

Value

$50

PnL

+$6

Record

55%

23457-18996 (42453)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Down

Invested

$40.1

Value

$49

PnL

+$8.9

Record

57%

11583-8602 (20185)

MayorMamdani<$100

Down

Invested

$45.12

Value

$48

PnL

+$2.88

Record

55%

43553-35965 (79518)

Atomforge<$100

Down

Invested

$36.26

Value

$38.99

PnL

+$2.73

Record

65%

3780-2049 (5829)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$26.63

Value

$28.13

PnL

+$1.5

Record

61%

93231-58595 (151826)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Invested

$25.6

Value

—

PnL

-$25.6

Record

58%

50611-36747 (87358)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$20

Value

$16.72

PnL

-$3.28

Record

65%

20534-11219 (31753)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$8.5

Value

$9.14

PnL

+$0.64

Record

65%

123512-66036 (189548)

Smart Money Signal

Down

26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb8f1166c...efa7ca

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793092200

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Down — $1.6K

-$30.34

CrouchPredictions

Down — $868.76

+$23.16

machinelearned

Down — $450

+$19.92

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $300

+$16.74

thesidehustle

Down — $260.46

+$5.08

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $205.27

-$2.5

0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324

Down — $200

+$14

ply-pm0

Down — $166.44

+$3.09

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $156.54

-$6.73

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $158.19

+$11.52

Trade on Polymarket