Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 64%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$10.0K

Combined PnL

$10.38

Smart Money Signal

15 of 23 top traders (65%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up15 traders

Total Value$9.6K

Total Shares9,611

Combined PnL+$117.66

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares472

Combined PnL-$107.27

Up — 65%Down — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$8.0K	$8.0K	+$8.04	59% 61770-42691 (104461)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 74.9¢	$519.89	$525.06	+$5.17	54% 15053-12616 (27669)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 72¢	$283.51	$351.32	+$67.81	56% 7307-5633 (12940)
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100	Upavg 78.1¢	$332.26	$228.73	-$103.53	56% 13881-10867 (24748)
└ Up leg	Upavg 78.1¢	$178.7	$228.73	+$50.04
└ Down leg	Downavg 18.9¢	$153.56	—	-$153.56
AtomforgeARB<$100	Upavg 84¢	$143.1	$99.64	-$43.46	65% 3780-2049 (5829)
└ Up leg	Upavg 84¢	$83.7	$99.64	+$15.94
└ Down leg	Downavg 16.4¢	$59.4	—	-$59.4
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 90.1¢	$134.18	$127.28	-$6.91	68% 98383-46651 (145034)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 77¢	$98.46	$122.57	+$24.6	55% 6959-5716 (12675)
SI sir-upalot	Upavg 86¢	$91.71	$106.64	+$14.93	55% 23457-18996 (42453)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Upavg 84.2¢	$93.11	$66.22	-$26.89	56% 13302-10639 (23941)
└ Up leg	Upavg 84.2¢	$55.79	$66.22	+$10.43
└ Down leg	Downavg 22.1¢	$37.32	—	-$37.32
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 84.8¢	$64.62	$66.88	+$2.26	60% 11758-7695 (19453)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$61.47	$55	-$6.47	61% 93231-58595 (151826)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 82.2¢	$50.73	$61.68	+$10.95	55% 17023-13675 (30698)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 89¢	$53.4	$60	+$6.6	65% 123512-66036 (189548)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 95.4¢	$50.1	$36.63	-$13.47	49% 4805-4972 (9777)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50.6¢	$34.63	—	-$34.63	58% 37186-26392 (63578)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 90¢	$29.01	$25.01	-$4	55% 8214-6663 (14877)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$24.52	—	-$24.52	58% 50611-36747 (87358)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Downavg 19.8¢	$14.75	—	-$14.75	57% 11583-8602 (20185)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 83¢	$16.6	$20	+$3.4	65% 20534-11219 (31753)
ST std0CTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$11.89	—	-$11.89	67% 53006-26439 (79445)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 65.1¢	$8.84	$13.57	+$4.73	66% 111116-57341 (168457)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Downavg 18¢	$6.02	—	-$6.02	56% 12044-9290 (21334)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 25.4¢	$6.07	—	-$6.07	52% 88772-83208 (171980)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 6.6¢	$8.36	—	-$8.36	46% 37648-43987 (81635)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 12¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	66% 123735-63707 (187442)

0x50f7

Invested

$8,031.51

Value

$8.0K

PnL

+$8.04

Record

59%

61770-42691 (104461)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$519.89

Value

$525.06

PnL

+$5.17

Record

54%

15053-12616 (27669)

wzbbb

Invested

$283.51

Value

$351.32

PnL

+$67.81

Record

56%

7307-5633 (12940)

CrouchPredictionsARB<$100

Invested

$332.26

Value

$228.73

PnL

-$103.53

Record

56%

13881-10867 (24748)

Both legs:

Up$178.778.1¢+$50.04

Down$153.5618.9¢-$153.56

AtomforgeARB<$100

Invested

$143.1

Value

$99.64

PnL

-$43.46

Record

65%

3780-2049 (5829)

Both legs:

Up$83.784¢+$15.94

Down$59.416.4¢-$59.4

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$134.18

Value

$127.28

PnL

-$6.91

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$98.46

Value

$122.57

PnL

+$24.6

Record

55%

6959-5716 (12675)

sir-upalot

Invested

$91.71

Value

$106.64

PnL

+$14.93

Record

55%

23457-18996 (42453)

GoodFallenARB<$100

Invested

$93.11

Value

$66.22

PnL

-$26.89

Record

56%

13302-10639 (23941)

Both legs:

Up$55.7984.2¢+$10.43

Down$37.3222.1¢-$37.32

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$64.62

Value

$66.88

PnL

+$2.26

Record

60%

11758-7695 (19453)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$61.47

Value

$55

PnL

-$6.47

Record

61%

93231-58595 (151826)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$50.73

Value

$61.68

PnL

+$10.95

Record

55%

17023-13675 (30698)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$53.4

Value

$60

PnL

+$6.6

Record

65%

123512-66036 (189548)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$50.1

Value

$36.63

PnL

-$13.47

Record

49%

4805-4972 (9777)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$34.63

Value

—

PnL

-$34.63

Record

58%

37186-26392 (63578)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$29.01

Value

$25.01

PnL

-$4

Record

55%

8214-6663 (14877)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$24.52

Value

—

PnL

-$24.52

Record

58%

50611-36747 (87358)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.75

Value

—

PnL

-$14.75

Record

57%

11583-8602 (20185)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$16.6

Value

$20

PnL

+$3.4

Record

65%

20534-11219 (31753)

std0CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$11.89

Value

—

PnL

-$11.89

Record

67%

53006-26439 (79445)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$8.84

Value

$13.57

PnL

+$4.73

Record

66%

111116-57341 (168457)

FairValueMachineCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$6.02

Value

—

PnL

-$6.02

Record

56%

12044-9290 (21334)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$6.07

Value

—

PnL

-$6.07

Record

52%

88772-83208 (171980)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.36

Value

—

PnL

-$8.36

Record

46%

37648-43987 (81635)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

Smart Money Signal

15 of 23 top traders (65%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xfa25cada...a02d29

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793091900

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $8.0K

+$8.04

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $525.06

+$5.17

wzbbb

Up — $351.32

CrouchPredictions

Arbitrage — excluded

Atomforge

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $127.28

-$6.91

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $122.57

+$24.6

sir-upalot

Up — $106.64

+$14.93

GoodFallen

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$26.89

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $66.88

+$2.26

Trade on Polymarket