Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 86%
$10.0K
$280.8
Smart Money Signal
19 of 23 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $5.9K | $5.9K | +$1.66 | 59% 61765-42673 (104438) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 97.9¢ | $2.4K | $2.5K | +$51.52 | 56% 7295-5625 (12920) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 85.6¢ | $331.15 | $378.23 | +$47.08 | 56% 13876-10857 (24733) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 73.5¢ | $135.17 | $159.59 | +$24.42 | 68% 98347-46616 (144963) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 73.8¢ | $110.28 | $149.17 | +$38.88 | 60% 11750-7692 (19442) |
ST std0 | Downavg 94.8¢ | $130.02 | $133.12 | +$3.1 | 67% 53004-26437 (79441) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $103.84 | $90 | -$13.84 | 49% 4800-4966 (9766) |
 heyboy800 | Downavg 70¢ | $120 | $171.43 | +$51.43 | 62% 858-537 (1395) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $71.29 | $75 | +$3.71 | 55% 8209-6657 (14866) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $61.51 | $67.63 | +$6.12 | 55% 43523-35934 (79457) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $55.2 | $60 | +$4.8 | 54% 10027-8513 (18540) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 69.7¢ | $71.76 | $103 | +$31.24 | 56% 13294-10636 (23930) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $43.91 | $44.81 | +$0.9 | 46% 37642-43970 (81612) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.6¢ | $35.82 | $41.86 | +$6.04 | 66% 123706-63693 (187399) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.6¢ | $34.15 | $35 | +$0.85 | 52% 88749-83182 (171931) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $32.26 | $43.44 | +$11.18 | 54% 15045-12613 (27658) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $35 | $50 | +$15 | 55% 23450-18994 (42444) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $22.85 | $25.08 | +$2.23 | 61% 93204-58582 (151786) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $20.8 | $20.05 | -$0.75 | 55% 16996-13641 (30637) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 55% 6952-5712 (12664) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 51% 19546-18734 (38280) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111093-57313 (168406) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3599-2787 (6386) |
Invested
$5,859.3
Value
$5.9K
PnL
+$1.66
Record
59%
61765-42673 (104438)
Invested
$2,428.61
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$51.52
Record
56%
7295-5625 (12920)
Invested
$331.15
Value
$378.23
PnL
+$47.08
Record
56%
13876-10857 (24733)
Invested
$135.17
Value
$159.59
PnL
+$24.42
Record
68%
98347-46616 (144963)
Invested
$110.28
Value
$149.17
PnL
+$38.88
Record
60%
11750-7692 (19442)
Invested
$130.02
Value
$133.12
PnL
+$3.1
Record
67%
53004-26437 (79441)
Invested
$103.84
Value
$90
PnL
-$13.84
Record
49%
4800-4966 (9766)
heyboy800Invested
$120
Value
$171.43
PnL
+$51.43
Record
62%
858-537 (1395)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$71.29
Value
$75
PnL
+$3.71
Record
55%
8209-6657 (14866)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$61.51
Value
$67.63
PnL
+$6.12
Record
55%
43523-35934 (79457)
Invested
$55.2
Value
$60
PnL
+$4.8
Record
54%
10027-8513 (18540)
Invested
$71.76
Value
$103
PnL
+$31.24
Record
56%
13294-10636 (23930)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$43.91
Value
$44.81
PnL
+$0.9
Record
46%
37642-43970 (81612)
Invested
$35.82
Value
$41.86
PnL
+$6.04
Record
66%
123706-63693 (187399)
Invested
$34.15
Value
$35
PnL
+$0.85
Record
52%
88749-83182 (171931)
Invested
$32.26
Value
$43.44
PnL
+$11.18
Record
54%
15045-12613 (27658)
Invested
$35
Value
$50
PnL
+$15
Record
55%
23450-18994 (42444)
Invested
$22.85
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$2.23
Record
61%
93204-58582 (151786)
Invested
$20.8
Value
$20.05
PnL
-$0.75
Record
55%
16996-13641 (30637)
Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
55%
6952-5712 (12664)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
51%
19546-18734 (38280)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111093-57313 (168406)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3599-2787 (6386)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $5.9K
wzbbb
Down — $2.5K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $378.23
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $159.59
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $149.17
std0
Down — $133.12
ply-pm0
Down — $90
heyboy800
Down — $171.43
machinelearned
Down — $75
MayorMamdani
Down — $67.63