Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 83%
$16.0K
-$662.12
Smart Money Signal
25 of 30 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $5.9K | $6.0K | +$87.23 | 59% 61746-42646 (104392) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 97.2¢ | $2.8K | $2.8K | -$71.59 | 56% 7276-5609 (12885) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 88.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | -$11.17 | 64% 57162-31972 (89134) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 86.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$32.07 | 56% 13852-10844 (24696) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $806.65 | $814.8 | +$8.15 | 93% 22055-1704 (23759) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 89.4¢ | $686.27 | $702.15 | +$15.88 | 55% 8191-6645 (14836) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 86.8¢ | $491.71 | $535.58 | +$43.87 | 54% 9990-8484 (18474) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 62.8¢ | $310.85 | $495 | +$184.15 | 66% 98273-50731 (149004) |
 heyboy800 | Downavg 67¢ | $300 | $448 | +$148 | 62% 852-528 (1380) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 69.2¢ | $375.69 | $397.74 | +$22.06 | 54% 15026-12605 (27631) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 90¢ | $224.12 | $249 | +$24.88 | 55% 43472-35889 (79361) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 69.6¢ | $197.99 | $239.99 | +$42 | 56% 13275-10628 (23903) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 72.8¢ | $206.73 | $207.23 | +$0.51 | 55% 6935-5699 (12634) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 87.7¢ | $136 | $150 | +$14 | 55% 23433-18984 (42417) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $137.91 | $137.79 | -$0.13 | 49% 4790-4946 (9736) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $74.95 | $100.39 | +$25.44 | 58% 59871-43705 (103576) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 89.3¢ | $112.36 | $96.52 | -$15.83 | 55% 16944-13598 (30542) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $78.03 | $90.83 | +$12.85 | 60% 11734-7678 (19412) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 64.6¢ | $48.81 | $75.5 | +$26.69 | 64% 39513-22533 (62046) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $54.82 | $54.7 | -$0.12 | 46% 37615-43943 (81558) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $38.95 | $49.04 | +$10.09 | 66% 123643-63650 (187293) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.7¢ | $74.75 | — | -$74.75 | 66% 111044-57268 (168312) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $24.49 | $31 | +$6.51 | 61% 93036-58467 (151503) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $38.89 | $30 | -$8.89 | 56% 12022-9274 (21296) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $37.2 | $26.18 | +$9.07 | 65% 20395-11132 (31527) |
Invested
$5,928.79
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$87.23
Record
59%
61746-42646 (104392)
Invested
$2,844.29
Value
$2.8K
PnL
-$71.59
Record
56%
7276-5609 (12885)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,199.77
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$11.17
Record
64%
57162-31972 (89134)
Invested
$1,133.38
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$32.07
Record
56%
13852-10844 (24696)
Invested
$806.65
Value
$814.8
PnL
+$8.15
Record
93%
22055-1704 (23759)
machinelearnedInvested
$686.27
Value
$702.15
PnL
+$15.88
Record
55%
8191-6645 (14836)
Invested
$491.71
Value
$535.58
PnL
+$43.87
Record
54%
9990-8484 (18474)
Invested
$310.85
Value
$495
PnL
+$184.15
Record
66%
98273-50731 (149004)
heyboy800Invested
$300
Value
$448
PnL
+$148
Record
62%
852-528 (1380)
Invested
$375.69
Value
$397.74
PnL
+$22.06
Record
54%
15026-12605 (27631)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$224.12
Value
$249
PnL
+$24.88
Record
55%
43472-35889 (79361)
Invested
$197.99
Value
$239.99
PnL
+$42
Record
56%
13275-10628 (23903)
Invested
$206.73
Value
$207.23
PnL
+$0.51
Record
55%
6935-5699 (12634)
Invested
$136
Value
$150
PnL
+$14
Record
55%
23433-18984 (42417)
Invested
$137.91
Value
$137.79
PnL
-$0.13
Record
49%
4790-4946 (9736)
Invested
$74.95
Value
$100.39
PnL
+$25.44
Record
58%
59871-43705 (103576)
Invested
$112.36
Value
$96.52
PnL
-$15.83
Record
55%
16944-13598 (30542)
Invested
$78.03
Value
$90.83
PnL
+$12.85
Record
60%
11734-7678 (19412)
ohioism<$100Invested
$48.81
Value
$75.5
PnL
+$26.69
Record
64%
39513-22533 (62046)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$54.82
Value
$54.7
PnL
-$0.12
Record
46%
37615-43943 (81558)
Invested
$38.95
Value
$49.04
PnL
+$10.09
Record
66%
123643-63650 (187293)
Invested
$74.75
Value
—
PnL
-$74.75
Record
66%
111044-57268 (168312)
Invested
$24.49
Value
$31
PnL
+$6.51
Record
61%
93036-58467 (151503)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$38.89
Value
$30
PnL
-$8.89
Record
56%
12022-9274 (21296)
Invested
$37.2
Value
$26.18
PnL
+$9.07
Record
65%
20395-11132 (31527)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.0K
wzbbb
Down — $2.8K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $1.2K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.1K
hoodquant
Down — $814.8
machinelearned
Down — $702.15
thesidehustle
Down — $535.58
Bonereaper
Down — $495
heyboy800
Down — $448
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $397.74