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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Up 40%
Total Value
$4.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 10 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xea98da4c...9d2138
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786941600