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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x72ebbbad...c9ebb3
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786903200