Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$2.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x4795cad3...39b7d1
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786889100