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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$279.57
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x387afa62...2613ae
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786884000