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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$465.11
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1babed9c...c8b383
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786873200