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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$358.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc1010a24...376852
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786869600