Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$801.86
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa80dc034...549bba
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786854900