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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$331.88
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc8ffc9ed...93eca3
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786824600