Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 88%
Total Value
$490.08
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
7 of 8 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ca4a7bc...13f43b
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786756200