Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 86.50974056578004% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 86.50974056578004%
Total Value
$887.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (86.50974056578004%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x481ec99b...4e5c0b
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786662900