Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 56%
$3.9K
$85.44
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 85.6Β’ | $2.5K | $2.7K | +$131.94 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
SU suntori | Downavg 97.7Β’ | $502.56 | $482.93 | +$11.05 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.3Β’ | $55.8 | β | -$55.8 | 51% 4829-4609 (9438) |
GH ghorrock | Downavg 73.4Β’ | $120.7 | $154.52 | +$41.41 | 53% 2282-2055 (4337) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 78.7Β’ | $96.17 | $121.07 | +$24.9 | 50% 390-388 (778) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 18.2Β’ | $258.62 | β | +$9.08 | 52% 1584-1489 (3073) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.8Β’ | $27.02 | β | -$19.47 | 52% 1584-1490 (3074) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 9.8Β’ | $114.91 | β | -$57.67 | 44% 77-100 (177) |
Invested
$2,542.99
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$131.94
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
Invested
$502.56
Value
$482.93
PnL
+$11.05
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Invested
$55.8
Value
β
PnL
-$55.8
Record
51%
4829-4609 (9438)
Invested
$120.7
Value
$154.52
PnL
+$41.41
Record
53%
2282-2055 (4337)
Invested
$96.17
Value
$121.07
PnL
+$24.9
Record
50%
390-388 (778)
Invested
$258.62
Value
β
PnL
+$9.08
Record
52%
1584-1489 (3073)
Invested
$27.02
Value
β
PnL
-$19.47
Record
52%
1584-1490 (3074)
Invested
$114.91
Value
β
PnL
-$57.67
Record
44%
77-100 (177)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $2.7K
suntori
Down β $482.93
ByteBadger92
Down β $500
bosona
CTRUp β $0
ghorrock
Down β $154.52
Hsilverbasher
Down β $121.07
almach
CTRUp β $0
mo-money
CTRUp β $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0