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DownUpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 20%
Total Value
$1.7K
Combined PnL
$84.42
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,662
Combined PnL+$174.07
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares327
Combined PnL-$89.65
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 83.2¢ | $1.5K | $1.7K | +$124.97 | 68% 99494-47875 (147369) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.1¢ | $73.36 | — | -$73.36 | 12% 18305-132994 (151299) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6¢ | $5.58 | — | -$5.58 | 55% 49716-39927 (89643) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.1¢ | $8.34 | — | -$8.34 | 55% 50489-41087 (91576) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.5¢ | $2.37 | — | -$2.37 | 55% 48447-40006 (88453) |
LO Loser12<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $50 | — | +$49.1 | — 2-0 (2) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$1,537.45
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$124.97
Record
68%
99494-47875 (147369)
HS
HsilverbasherCTR<$100Invested
$73.36
Value
—
PnL
-$73.36
Record
12%
18305-132994 (151299)
BO
bosonaCTR<$100Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$5.58
Record
55%
49716-39927 (89643)
MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100Invested
$8.34
Value
—
PnL
-$8.34
Record
55%
50489-41087 (91576)
AL
almachCTR<$100Invested
$2.37
Value
—
PnL
-$2.37
Record
55%
48447-40006 (88453)
LO
Loser12<$100Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
+$49.1
Record
—
2-0 (2)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc5d47826...ddf010
Slug
btc-updown-4h-1793347200