Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 67%
$6.9K
$293.72
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $3.5K | $3.7K | +$149.89 | 68% 99150-47505 (146655) |
 justdance | Downavg 86.7¢ | $2.7K | $3.1K | +$280.77 | 52% 2695-2537 (5232) |
BO bosona | Downavg 95.7¢ | $147.18 | $103.5 | -$18.51 | 55% 49540-39754 (89294) |
AN Anon455CTR | Upavg 10¢ | $119.06 | — | -$119.06 | 56% 2793-2215 (5008) |
AO aosdijfCTR<$100 | Upavg 0.2¢ | $8.3 | — | -$8.3 | 9% 45-447 (492) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $1.22 | $1.22 | +$0.11 | 55% 50322-40913 (91235) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $1.32 | — | +$8.81 | 55% 48315-39875 (88190) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 12% 18265-132965 (151230) |
Invested
$3,547.96
Value
$3.7K
PnL
+$149.89
Record
68%
99150-47505 (146655)
justdanceInvested
$2,659.12
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$280.77
Record
52%
2695-2537 (5232)
Invested
$147.18
Value
$103.5
PnL
-$18.51
Record
55%
49540-39754 (89294)
Invested
$119.06
Value
—
PnL
-$119.06
Record
56%
2793-2215 (5008)
Invested
$8.3
Value
—
PnL
-$8.3
Record
9%
45-447 (492)
Invested
$1.22
Value
$1.22
PnL
+$0.11
Record
55%
50322-40913 (91235)
Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
+$8.81
Record
55%
48315-39875 (88190)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
12%
18265-132965 (151230)
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