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justdanceDownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$6.5K
Combined PnL
$57.09
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$6.5K
Total Shares6,499
Combined PnL+$128.67
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares229
Combined PnL-$71.58
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
justdance | Downavg 90¢ | $3.9K | $4.3K | +$431.69 | 52% 2695-2536 (5231) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $2.3K | $2.0K | -$325.12 | 68% 99149-47503 (146652) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 89¢ | $178.9 | $201 | +$22.1 | 12% 18256-132960 (151216) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $40.51 | — | -$40.51 | 56% 2788-2211 (4999) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $31.07 | — | -$31.07 | 55% 48281-39826 (88107) |
justdanceInvested
$3,884.83
Value
$4.3K
PnL
+$431.69
Record
52%
2695-2536 (5231)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$2,306.46
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$325.12
Record
68%
99149-47503 (146652)
HS
HsilverbasherInvested
$178.9
Value
$201
PnL
+$22.1
Record
12%
18256-132960 (151216)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$40.51
Value
—
PnL
-$40.51
Record
56%
2788-2211 (4999)
AL
almachCTR<$100Invested
$31.07
Value
—
PnL
-$31.07
Record
55%
48281-39826 (88107)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8c647969...d456fa
Slug
btc-updown-4h-1793289600