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justdanceUpUpDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$12.1K
Combined PnL
$104.63
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$6.7K
Total Shares6,668
Combined PnL+$787.82
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,601
Combined PnL-$683.18
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $5.2K | $5.5K | +$251.38 | 68% 98643-46959 (145602) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 70¢ | $3.8K | $5.5K | +$1.6K | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 23.4¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | |
justdance | Upavg 84.1¢ | $3.9K | $4.6K | +$735.98 | 51% 2681-2533 (5214) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 79.4¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$51.84 | 66% 98405-50847 (149252) |
AL almachCTR | Downavg 24.8¢ | $284.66 | — | -$284.66 | 55% 47863-39473 (87336) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 24¢ | $192.43 | — | -$192.43 | 55% 49922-40551 (90473) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 25.7¢ | $206.1 | — | -$206.1 | 56% 49119-39377 (88496) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100Invested
$5,230.2
Value
$5.5K
PnL
+$251.38
Record
68%
98643-46959 (145602)
Both legs:
Up$3,839.2970¢+$1.6K
Down$1,390.5623.4¢$-1.4K
justdanceInvested
$3,903.85
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$735.98
Record
51%
2681-2533 (5214)
BO
BonereaperInvested
$1,976.33
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$51.84
Record
66%
98405-50847 (149252)
AL
almachCTRInvested
$284.66
Value
—
PnL
-$284.66
Record
55%
47863-39473 (87336)
MO
mo-moneyCTRInvested
$192.43
Value
—
PnL
-$192.43
Record
55%
49922-40551 (90473)
BO
bosonaCTRInvested
$206.1
Value
—
PnL
-$206.1
Record
56%
49119-39377 (88496)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9f3ff3ad...cd278e
Slug
btc-updown-4h-1793131200