Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 79%

Total Value

$4.7K

Combined PnL

$8.15

Smart Money Signal

27 of 34 top traders (79%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up27 traders

Total Value$4.7K

Total Shares4,667

Combined PnL+$365.65

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,311

Combined PnL-$357.49

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$12.24	98% 4630-97 (4727)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 76.9¢	$709.45	$650.36	-$59.09	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 52.7¢	$532.62	$536.07	+$147.01	57% 5226-3866 (9092)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.9¢	$514.28	$491.82	+$2.8	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 40¢	$229.18	$371.98	+$142.8	47% 1208-1339 (2547)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 72¢	$166.85	$180	+$13.15	50% 4682-4738 (9420)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$150.48	$152	+$1.52	70% 1877-817 (2694)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 88.8¢	$141	$128.45	-$11.55	46% 336-397 (733)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 68.9¢	$110.87	$123.86	+$14.04	58% 502-365 (867)
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 61.8¢	$113.39	$141.06	+$27.67	44% 2472-3195 (5667)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Downavg 38.9¢	$118.92	—	-$114.12	51% 2609-2462 (5071)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 87.6¢	$82.44	$86.09	+$3.93	66% 4070-2058 (6128)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 81.6¢	$65.24	$77.62	+$12.38	48% 2582-2816 (5398)
ST stepahead	Upavg 65.2¢	$106.86	$69.93	+$12.05	55% 4649-3753 (8402)
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100	Downavg 37.3¢	$62.43	—	-$62.43	49% 960-1012 (1972)
BO bosona<$100	Upavg 77¢	$54.99	$65	+$10.01	51% 4973-4711 (9684)
RL RLWG<$100	Upavg 79¢	$68.1	$70	+$1.9	63% 1989-1161 (3150)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 96.7¢	$47.51	$46.54	-$0.97	54% 1091-944 (2035)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 86¢	$40.27	$23.57	-$16.7	52% 1710-1607 (3317)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Upavg 85¢	$42.5	$50	+$7.5	59% 1185-840 (2025)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 72¢	$74.6	$53.71	+$11.72	60% 4328-2942 (7270)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 39¢	$17.7	$30	+$12.3	52% 5230-4894 (10124)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 96.7¢	$26.22	$27.1	+$0.88	50% 2915-2911 (5826)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 91¢	$22.75	$25	+$2.25	48% 2606-2865 (5471)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 90.4¢	$11.16	$12.35	+$1.19	65% 2887-1573 (4460)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,211.76

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$12.24

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$709.45

Value

$650.36

PnL

-$59.09

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$532.62

Value

$536.07

PnL

+$147.01

Record

57%

5226-3866 (9092)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$514.28

Value

$491.82

PnL

+$2.8

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$229.18

Value

$371.98

PnL

+$142.8

Record

47%

1208-1339 (2547)

asdcaxz

Invested

$166.85

Value

$180

PnL

+$13.15

Record

50%

4682-4738 (9420)

BoneOhio

Invested

$150.48

Value

$152

PnL

+$1.52

Record

70%

1877-817 (2694)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$141

Value

$128.45

PnL

-$11.55

Record

46%

336-397 (733)

Alpharo28

Invested

$110.87

Value

$123.86

PnL

+$14.04

Record

58%

502-365 (867)

G-Penis-Monster

Invested

$113.39

Value

$141.06

PnL

+$27.67

Record

44%

2472-3195 (5667)

Polkadot-FrogCTR

Down

Invested

$118.92

Value

—

PnL

-$114.12

Record

51%

2609-2462 (5071)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$82.44

Value

$86.09

PnL

+$3.93

Record

66%

4070-2058 (6128)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$65.24

Value

$77.62

PnL

+$12.38

Record

48%

2582-2816 (5398)

stepahead

Invested

$106.86

Value

$69.93

PnL

+$12.05

Record

55%

4649-3753 (8402)

peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$62.43

Value

—

PnL

-$62.43

Record

49%

960-1012 (1972)

bosona<$100

Invested

$54.99

Value

$65

PnL

+$10.01

Record

51%

4973-4711 (9684)

RLWG<$100

Invested

$68.1

Value

$70

PnL

+$1.9

Record

63%

1989-1161 (3150)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$47.51

Value

$46.54

PnL

-$0.97

Record

54%

1091-944 (2035)

almach<$100

Invested

$40.27

Value

$23.57

PnL

-$16.7

Record

52%

1710-1607 (3317)

Bonereaper<$100

Invested

$42.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$7.5

Record

59%

1185-840 (2025)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$74.6

Value

$53.71

PnL

+$11.72

Record

60%

4328-2942 (7270)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$17.7

Value

$30

PnL

+$12.3

Record

52%

5230-4894 (10124)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$26.22

Value

$27.1

PnL

+$0.88

Record

50%

2915-2911 (5826)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$22.75

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.25

Record

48%

2606-2865 (5471)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$11.16

Value

$12.35

PnL

+$1.19

Record

65%

2887-1573 (4460)

Smart Money Signal

27 of 34 top traders (79%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xecd7341b...e9cb48

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794775500

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.2K

+$12.24

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $650.36

-$59.09

Hcrystallash

Up — $536.07

+$147.01

ByteBadger92

Up — $491.82

+$2.8

CrouchPredictions

Up — $371.98

+$142.8

asdcaxz

Up — $180

+$13.15

BoneOhio

Up — $152

+$1.52

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Up — $128.45

-$11.55

Alpharo28

Up — $123.86

+$14.04

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $141.06

+$27.67

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