Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 80%

Total Value

$4.0K

Combined PnL

-$381.14

Smart Money Signal

24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up24 traders

Total Value$4.0K

Total Shares3,998

Combined PnL+$268.49

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,209

Combined PnL-$649.63

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$15.81	98% 4630-97 (4727)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$500	—	-$499.9	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
MO mo-money	Upavg 98.1¢	$490.49	$499.99	+$9.5	52% 1724-1594 (3318)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 74.4¢	$365.15	$461.14	+$95.99	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 92.8¢	$404.7	$436.28	+$31.58	43% 2188-2930 (5118)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 93.9¢	$207.5	$221	+$13.5	53% 3113-2811 (5924)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 73.4¢	$218.32	$157	+$0.7	51% 2609-2462 (5071)
BO bosona	Upavg 93¢	$120.9	$130	+$9.1	51% 4973-4711 (9684)
ST stepahead<$100	Upavg 65.3¢	$60.38	$92.22	+$31.84	55% 4649-3753 (8402)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 68.7¢	$127.3	$89.51	+$14.08	57% 5226-3866 (9092)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 92¢	$76.3	$82.03	+$5.73	52% 1710-1607 (3317)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 70.8¢	$61	$80	+$19	49% 960-1012 (1972)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 24.3¢	$145.9	—	-$145.9	47% 1208-1339 (2547)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 90.5¢	$36.2	$40	+$3.8	58% 502-365 (867)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 94¢	$29.16	$30	+$0.84	54% 1091-944 (2035)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 86.1¢	$25.63	$28.37	+$2.74	66% 4070-2058 (6128)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 94¢	$18.8	$20	+$1.2	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99¢	$15.35	$15.51	+$0.16	70% 1877-817 (2694)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 90¢	$9.59	$10.65	+$1.06	38% 813-1304 (2117)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 91.5¢	$9.15	$10	+$0.85	48% 1536-1661 (3197)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 48¢	$4.8	$10	+$5.2	50% 1006-996 (2002)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91¢	$5.58	$6.13	+$0.55	65% 2887-1573 (4460)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 51¢	$2.55	$5	+$2.45	44% 2472-3195 (5667)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 61¢	$3.05	$5	+$1.95	48% 2606-2865 (5471)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 89¢	$4.45	$5	+$0.55	50% 2915-2911 (5826)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,542.19

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$15.81

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

ByteBadger92CTR

Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$499.9

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

mo-money

Invested

$490.49

Value

$499.99

PnL

+$9.5

Record

52%

1724-1594 (3318)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$365.15

Value

$461.14

PnL

+$95.99

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$404.7

Value

$436.28

PnL

+$31.58

Record

43%

2188-2930 (5118)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$207.5

Value

$221

PnL

+$13.5

Record

53%

3113-2811 (5924)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$218.32

Value

$157

PnL

+$0.7

Record

51%

2609-2462 (5071)

bosona

Invested

$120.9

Value

$130

PnL

+$9.1

Record

51%

4973-4711 (9684)

stepahead<$100

Invested

$60.38

Value

$92.22

PnL

+$31.84

Record

55%

4649-3753 (8402)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$127.3

Value

$89.51

PnL

+$14.08

Record

57%

5226-3866 (9092)

almach<$100

Invested

$76.3

Value

$82.03

PnL

+$5.73

Record

52%

1710-1607 (3317)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$61

Value

$80

PnL

+$19

Record

49%

960-1012 (1972)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$145.9

Value

—

PnL

-$145.9

Record

47%

1208-1339 (2547)

Alpharo28<$100

Invested

$36.2

Value

$40

PnL

+$3.8

Record

58%

502-365 (867)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$29.16

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.84

Record

54%

1091-944 (2035)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$25.63

Value

$28.37

PnL

+$2.74

Record

66%

4070-2058 (6128)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$18.8

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.2

Record

62%

4748-2897 (7645)

BoneOhio<$100

Invested

$15.35

Value

$15.51

PnL

+$0.16

Record

70%

1877-817 (2694)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$9.59

Value

$10.65

PnL

+$1.06

Record

38%

813-1304 (2117)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$9.15

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.85

Record

48%

1536-1661 (3197)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.2

Record

50%

1006-996 (2002)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.58

Value

$6.13

PnL

+$0.55

Record

65%

2887-1573 (4460)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

PnL

+$2.45

Record

44%

2472-3195 (5667)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.05

Value

PnL

+$1.95

Record

48%

2606-2865 (5471)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.45

Value

PnL

+$0.55

Record

50%

2915-2911 (5826)

Smart Money Signal

24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x80b8f1a1...cf5687

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794774600

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.6K

+$15.81

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$499.9

mo-money

Up — $499.99

+$9.5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $461.14

+$95.99

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $436.28

+$31.58

MayorMamdani

Up — $221

+$13.5

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $157

+$0.7

bosona

Up — $130

+$9.1

stepahead

Up — $92.22

+$31.84

Hcrystallash

Up — $89.51

+$14.08

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