Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$5.4K

Combined PnL

$305.16

Smart Money Signal

28 of 34 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up28 traders

Total Value$5.4K

Total Shares5,408

Combined PnL+$380.23

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares335

Combined PnL-$75.07

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 69.3¢	$683.31	$816.05	+$276.84	49% 3651-3756 (7407)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 82.2¢	$830.55	$823.21	-$7.35	47% 1193-1322 (2515)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.9¢	$517.63	$500	-$5.1	54% 4282-3627 (7909)
MO mo-money	Upavg 92.6¢	$487.66	$352.27	-$135.38	52% 1704-1576 (3280)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 69.8¢	$284.82	$323.27	+$38.45	51% 2574-2433 (5007)
ST stepahead	Upavg 73.3¢	$257.21	$261.58	+$4.37	55% 4634-3736 (8370)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 70.5¢	$295.37	$259.15	-$4.32	58% 5209-3849 (9058)
RL RLWG	Upavg 82.4¢	$218.35	$265	+$46.65	63% 1984-1153 (3137)
AL almach	Upavg 91¢	$236.68	$250	+$13.32	51% 1687-1592 (3279)
BO bosona	Upavg 91¢	$227.5	$250	+$22.5	51% 4946-4701 (9647)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$227.58	$229.88	+$2.3	70% 1855-804 (2659)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 87.2¢	$183	$209.85	+$26.85	46% 331-396 (727)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 94.4¢	$155.74	$165	+$9.26	52% 3078-2785 (5863)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 67.9¢	$142.54	$126.02	+$14.55	58% 482-353 (835)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 52.4¢	$61.86	$118	+$56.14	51% 2213-2109 (4322)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 80¢	$104.86	$110	+$5.14	50% 4644-4696 (9340)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 69¢	$43.22	$62.64	+$19.42	60% 4284-2912 (7196)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 94¢	$61.55	$60	-$1.55	43% 2435-3165 (5600)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 83.1¢	$81.23	$53.58	-$4.15	48% 2576-2827 (5403)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$60.6	$40	-$20.6	49% 950-986 (1936)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 92.9¢	$35.77	$38.52	+$2.75	38% 794-1290 (2084)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 87.6¢	$22.05	$25	+$2.95	54% 1072-931 (2003)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 73¢	$14.1	$19.32	+$5.22	66% 4016-2029 (6045)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 70¢	$19.59	$14	+$3.32	47% 2471-2739 (5210)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 96.5¢	$12.54	$13	+$0.46	50% 2877-2870 (5747)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$683.31

Value

$816.05

PnL

+$276.84

Record

49%

3651-3756 (7407)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$830.55

Value

$823.21

PnL

-$7.35

Record

47%

1193-1322 (2515)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$517.63

Value

$500

PnL

-$5.1

Record

54%

4282-3627 (7909)

mo-money

Invested

$487.66

Value

$352.27

PnL

-$135.38

Record

52%

1704-1576 (3280)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$284.82

Value

$323.27

PnL

+$38.45

Record

51%

2574-2433 (5007)

stepahead

Invested

$257.21

Value

$261.58

PnL

+$4.37

Record

55%

4634-3736 (8370)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$295.37

Value

$259.15

PnL

-$4.32

Record

58%

5209-3849 (9058)

RLWG

Invested

$218.35

Value

$265

PnL

+$46.65

Record

63%

1984-1153 (3137)

almach

Invested

$236.68

Value

$250

PnL

+$13.32

Record

51%

1687-1592 (3279)

bosona

Invested

$227.5

Value

$250

PnL

+$22.5

Record

51%

4946-4701 (9647)

BoneOhio

Invested

$227.58

Value

$229.88

PnL

+$2.3

Record

70%

1855-804 (2659)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$183

Value

$209.85

PnL

+$26.85

Record

46%

331-396 (727)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$155.74

Value

$165

PnL

+$9.26

Record

52%

3078-2785 (5863)

Alpharo28

Invested

$142.54

Value

$126.02

PnL

+$14.55

Record

58%

482-353 (835)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$61.86

Value

$118

PnL

+$56.14

Record

51%

2213-2109 (4322)

asdcaxz

Invested

$104.86

Value

$110

PnL

+$5.14

Record

50%

4644-4696 (9340)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$43.22

Value

$62.64

PnL

+$19.42

Record

60%

4284-2912 (7196)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$61.55

Value

$60

PnL

-$1.55

Record

43%

2435-3165 (5600)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$81.23

Value

$53.58

PnL

-$4.15

Record

48%

2576-2827 (5403)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$60.6

Value

$40

PnL

-$20.6

Record

49%

950-986 (1936)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$35.77

Value

$38.52

PnL

+$2.75

Record

38%

794-1290 (2084)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$22.05

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.95

Record

54%

1072-931 (2003)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$14.1

Value

$19.32

PnL

+$5.22

Record

66%

4016-2029 (6045)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$19.59

Value

$14

PnL

+$3.32

Record

47%

2471-2739 (5210)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$12.54

Value

$13

PnL

+$0.46

Record

50%

2877-2870 (5747)

Smart Money Signal

28 of 34 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc04be876...0554e8

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794767400

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $816.05

+$276.84

CrouchPredictions

Up — $823.21

-$7.35

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

-$5.1

mo-money

Up — $352.27

-$135.38

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $323.27

+$38.45

stepahead

Up — $261.58

+$4.37

Hcrystallash

Up — $259.15

-$4.32

RLWG

Up — $265

+$46.65

almach

Up — $250

+$13.32

bosona

Up — $250

+$22.5

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